2018 AFC South Divisional Future Predictions
So far, we went over our predictions the AFC South and AFC West. Today, we’re moving to the AFC South, which is one of the more interesting and wide-open divisions in the league. I think there is a clear favorite in this the South, but that may be against both the oddsmakers and national consensus.
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Betting Odds to win the American Football Conference South Division
- Jacksonville Jaguars +175
- Houston Texans +200
- Tennessee Titans +350
- Indianapolis Colts +450
Jacksonville Jaguars +175
The Jaguars were one game away from the Super Bowl last season after a 10-6 regular season and from the looks of things, have improved this offseason. They did lose a wide receiver, Allen Robinson to the Bear in free agency, but did sign Donte Moncrief and resigned Marquise Lee. Austin Seferian-Jenkins was brought in at tight end to replace Marcedes Lewis. They signed Andrew Norwell to the largest contract ever for a guard, which will boost their already strong running game and pass protection. The defense, led by cornerback and NFL loud-mouth, Jalen Ramsey, is as dominant as ever.
Houston Texans +200
Like Jacksonville, not much has changed regarding personnel or coaching for Houston. Sophomore quarterback, Deshaun Watson, is back from his ACL injury and has both of his weapons, DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller, also both at full strength. The one change made on the coaching staff is the hire of Romeo Crennel after Mike Vrabel left the Texans to become the Titans head coach. Christian Covington, D.J. Reader, and J.J. Watt were all placed on injured reserve last season but are back and healthy for 2018. They will certainly perform better than the 4-12 mark they reached last season.
Tennessee Titans +350
Despite making the playoffs and upsetting the Chiefs in the first round after finishing at just 9-7 in the regular season, the Titans fired Mike Mularkey last season and hired former Texans offensive coordinator, Mike Vrabel as the head coach. Vrabel’s regime will certainly be an upgrade over Mularkey, as he was one of the worst coaches in the NFL. Their most notable addition on offense was the signing of former Patriot running back, Dion Lewis. On defense, a major area of need, they added Malcolm Butler on a five-year 61 million dollar deal and Logan Ryan to a three-year 30 million dollar deal, to shore up the cornerback position.
Indianapolis Colts +450
Andrew Luck is back and healthy, and that’s the best news for the Colts they’ve had in a while. The results in preseason are mixed, but Luck gives the Colts far more upside after the last place, 4-12 finish, in 2017. They signed Ryan Grant to help alongside T.Y. Hilton at receiver and went after the offensive line in the draft. Still, they’re awfully thin behind Hilton when it comes to receiving talent. They did sign ex-Lion, Eric Ebron to play with Jack Doyle at tight end. They will need to score a lot of points, as the defense is one of the worst in the league.
2018 AFC South Divisional Pick – Jacksonville Jaguars +175
Jacksonville is far and away my pick in this division. They’re nearly 2/1, and that price may be available at some sites. This team had the Patriots on the ropes in the AFC title game before making some poor second half adjustments. They have gotten better in the offseason. They have the best defense in the league and a dominant running game. All we need is a little more improvement from Bortles, and this team is going to dominate the AFC and perhaps the league.
The issues I see with Houston and Tennessee are offenses that should be potent but may also underwhelm. Defenses are going to have adjustments made for Deshaun Watson, and I am not sure the Titans will call the correct offense to maximize their offensive talent. Also, both defenses have serious question markets. I absolutely prefer the Jaguars to any other team in this division when it comes to divisional futures, but I don’t mind the Colts at +450, either. If you believe Luck is a generational talent, and he may be, this team has the upside to win the division. They have the same defensive issues that the Titans and Texans have, but the odds are much greater for a higher return. To learn about betting on NFL read our Pro Football Betting Guide.
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