College Football Betting – What Did We Learn After Four Weeks?

The Jalen Hurts factor

A month into the 2018 College Football season and it’s safe to say Alabama and Georgia are excellent. Clemson still solid, but they better figure out their quarterback situation soon. Nebraska is the most disappoint story so far this season. Those are easy takes. But what else do we know? What did we learn after 4 weeks of College Football play?

Physical teams will be a challenge for the Sooners…

Army gave Oklahoma quite a scare. Not all teams can run the ball or even commit to the running game like the Knights, but this is the recipe to beat the Sooners. Oklahoma has a refined team on both sides of the ball, and that doesn’t go well against smash-mouth football squads. Just write it down in the corner of a notebook. Running teams will hurt Oklahoma. Perhaps we are overstating the Sooners. Yes, they are unbeaten but covering big point spreads hasn’t gone their way. 1-3 ATS this season it’s far from impressive.

The Jalen Hurts factor…

The Jalen Hurts factorAlabama is better than the rest of the teams. It’s not close, and we know it. But last weekend was the 1st of the season they didn’t cover the spread. The reason? Jalen Hurts is hurting us Alabama backers. He can’t sling it like Tua Tagovailoa. He’s not as good running the football either. It becomes a pedestrian offense when he is on the field.

It allows opponents to have a couple of more possessions at the end of each game. Bama will still win easily, but we have to be careful when they play teams who can score. A backdoor cover hurts as much as watching Chip Kelly trying to regain his coaching mojo back at UCLA.

Oregon owes us an ATS win…

So Oregon is a fun team to watch, but young and dumb as well. The Ducks are now 0-4 against the spread this season. All their games have been at home. Maybe and just maybe taking the road next week will get them a boost… although I hate betting on undisciplined dumb teams and this is one of them.

Penn State is going to put Ohio State on notice…

We were all so ready to put Ohio State in the playoffs, but Penn State will have something to say about that this weekend. I was concerned about the Nittany Lions taking a step back after losing RB Saquon Barkley, but tailback Miles Sanders’ 200 rushing yards put an end to it. Penn State averages a nation’s best 55.0 points per game. Guess who is second? Of course, Ohio State with 54.5 PPG. At the game total is at 68 points for their matchup this weekend. Just give me the OVER already.

Is Texas Back?

Talk about a recurring theme over the past five years. Although the Longhorns’ wins over USC and TCU might be the closest we have ever been to say: Yes! Texas is back! I feel like I’m ready to trust them as small favorites. I would stay away if they jump as a double-digit favorite because they sure know how to disappoint. But I’m willing to give them the edge as fewer than 10-point faves; just like they will be on Saturday against Kansas State. Don’t make me regret this, Longhorns. I’m backing Texas as 8.5-point favorites on the road.

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Lukasz Soze

Lukasz Soze - Sports Aficionado

Lukasz was born in Las Vegas, the center of US sports betting. He is a sports aficionado with great insight into motorsports like F1 and MotoGP as well as NHL hockey.

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