2020 US Presidential Election Betting – Odds To Win The Democratic Nomination
The road to 2020 has begun with two nights of primary Democratic debates in Miami, Florida. Desperate to prove they have what it takes to beat Donald Trump ten candidates took to the stage each night. The first, Wednesday, was headlined by Senator Elizabeth Warren (+450 to win the Democratic nomination). She was the only candidate currently boasting double-digits in the polls and also riding a surge of popularity courtesy of her progressive policy-driven agenda and her ‘return government to the people’ message.
But, amongst a cast of second-tier candidates, it was Bill De Blasio, Mayor of New York, that earned the plaudits with his attacks on big corporations and the bashing of Donald Trump’s propaganda in regards to the President’s immigration policy. Gamblers were not so impressed and he can still be backed at +10000. Senator Amy Klobuchar (+4000) painted Trump as something of a volatile war-monger and former Housing Secretary Julian Castro proved he could be over-priced, at his current line of +10000 courtesy of some strong moments on immigration.
Biden’s Age And Civil Rights Record – 2020 US Election Betting
Night two, outstanding for its fiery exchanges and focus on immigration, featured four of the top five in the betting headed by former Vice President Joe Biden. Kamala Harris, the 54-year-old Senator from California with the advantage of being mixed-race and an exceptional public speaker, wasted no time in targeting the early favorite confronting him on his civil rights record.
Eric Swalwell (+10000) also took a swipe at Biden challenging the 76-year-old on his age while an even older Bernie Sanders, unsuccessful in his bid for the Democratic nomination in 2016, admitted he would raise taxes to fund healthcare programs. That’s never a vote getter and his price has since drifted out to +550.
Biden Usurped As Favorite – Odds To Win The Democratic Nomination
Joe Biden, who received the most camera time on the night, is just +200 with Mybookie.ag to win this particular race. But, interestingly, he can be backed at +450 with many European facing bookmakers and even bigger with some of the betting exchanges. Betfair, who have already traded almost $1 million on the market, have people queuing up to lay the veteran at +550 …all of this has come on the back of disappointing polling figures in the immediate aftermath of the debate.
So while prices vary wildly from one bookmaker to the next, ultimately it is Kamala Harris that can rightfully claim to be the overall bookies favorite. Her odds certainly collapsed after Thursday’s debate and the best prices you will find anywhere is +450.
Yang Gang Smashing Into Their Man
Another candidate which no one seems able to truly asses is Andrew Yang. The tech entrepreneur enjoyed the least airtime amongst the candidates in Thursday’s NBC debate (a quarter of that enjoyed by Biden and Harris). Nevertheless, his ‘no questions asked’ policy of every American citizen receiving at least $1,000 a month (titled a ‘Freedom Dividend’) is a proven winner in the eyes of some bettors and they smashed his odds at Mybookie.ag down from +5000 to +1250 in the space of 48 hours. He can be laid at 35/1 on the Betfair Exchange though.
Ultimately this week’s debates were no more than a charade and this is early brinkmanship. The biggest questions of all are: Do the candidates look and sound like they can beat Donald Trump? That’s the most important thing for Democratic voters; the best performances on the Miami stage will fade, the worst can only improve. It’s a long road ahead, we have seven months before the first deciding ballots are cast and there will be at least six more such debates.
Donald Trump might have a stranglehold on the Republican nomination – he’s as short as +110 to win the 2020 Presidential election – but this one is clearly wide-open and a lot can, and will, happen before the Iowa Caucuses take place on February 3, 2020.