Super Bowl Prop Bets 2019 – Five Proposition Bets You Should Bet On…
NFL Super Bowl propositions bets are one of the most popular bet types of football bettors, and this is only amplified for the Big Game. They also have one of the highest edges available to gamblers but have substantially lower betting limits than sides and totals. However, at most sportsbooks, betting limits on most player and team props are higher than the regular season.
This article will focus on some of my favorite props for Super Bowl 53. They will mostly be player props, with a possible team prop mixed in there too. Remember, there’s no pressure to bet more on the Super Bowl side or total, just because it’s the “big game.” In fact, if you’re a profitable bettor that can find value, Super Bowl propositions will almost always have a higher edge than straight bets.
Rex Burkhead Receiving Yards Over 14.5 (-114) – SportsBetting
Few remember that Burkhead was billed as the lead back in the Patriots’ offense before he got hurt early in the season and missed much of the year. However, as we’ve seen in the postseason, he’s getting increasingly more work. New England loves passing to their running backs and not every target is going to go to James White. Burkhead saw four targets in the AFC Championship that went for 23 total yards. Many other sportsbooks have his receiving yards at 17.5 with increased vigorish on the over.
Todd Gurley Rushing Yards Over 83.5 (-105) – MyBookie
The entire world noticed that Todd Gurley wasn’t on the field for half the snaps in the NFC Championship game. Instead, the Rams utilized C.J. Anderson as their lead back. Gurley still saw plenty of touches, but after the game stated that he played “sorry” and wouldn’t make that mistake again. Anderson is a testament to the “running backs don’t matter” argument but let’s be real, Gurley is a far better back.
I think we will see McVay go back to his workhorse after the two-week layoff. The Patriots defense is far from good, especially up front, and I like Gurley to have plenty of success on the ground. At 83.5 yards and -105 juice – this bet makes sense right now.
C.J. Anderson Under 65.5 (-115) Rushing & Receiving – MyBookie
Anderson has not been used much in the passing game and as I went over above – I expect Los Angeles to go back to Gurley, in a big way. I don’t think they will give him the ball much on either front in this game. And, it doesn’t hurt that the game is just about the most out of shape running back in the entire NFL. It would make sense that the Rams wise up and use the back the made the highest paid runner in the NFL.
Chris Hogan Over Receptions 3 (-114) – BetOnline
Hogan was a darling in preseason fantasy circles but didn’t get the fantasy production we all expected throughout the year. However, he’s still getting plenty of run and has seen target counts of 11, 5, and 7 in the last three games. This game has an extremely high total and should be back and forth contest. The number of receptions a bit low on Hogan. It should be at least 4, based on his recent usage.
Rob Gronkowski Under 52.5 Receiving Yards – SportsBetting
This prop is one I may wait to bet, as compared to the others, which I would suggest wagering on right away. Gronkowski had a big game in the AFC Championship and was targeted heavily (11 targets, six catches for 79 yards). But, this doesn’t represent his usage throughout the year when the Patriots are at full strength, which they are now. Realistically, his floor is a lot lower. Gronk hasn’t had more than two receptions and hasn’t topped 25 yards since a game against Miami on Dec 9th. This one may be bet up from the public after Gronk’s big game in the AFC Title game. I like the under on his yards and receptions.