Canelo Vs. Kovalev: How They Got Here And Who Might Win

Canelo Alvarez Vs. Sergey Kovalev Boxing Match

Canelo Vs. Kovalev Boxing Match Analysis

You can’t miss Saturday night’s bout between Canelo Alvarez and WBO light heavyweight champion Sergey Kovalev.

Las Vegas’ MGM Grand Garden Arena is going to be the rocking when Canelo challenges Sergey for the title.

Canelo’s Drive To Win

Canelo had to move up two weight classes in an attempt to secure a fourth weight class championship. This comes after scoring a decision win over Daniel Jacobs in May.

Kovalev Fights To Defend His Title

Sergey Kovalev is coming into this fight fresh off a win to defend his title over Anthony Yarde. Kovalev and Yarde let it all out during 11 brutal rounds before Kovalev rallied to score a TKO.

Sergey may be entering what many consider might be the last fight of his career. The 36-year-old will do this against one of the sport’s biggest stars.

Aside from the usual drama ahead of the fight, it’s worth it to wonder who might have a better chance to walk away with the title. Let’s take a look at the path that took both fighters to meet this Saturday.

Canelo’s Road to the Fight

Canelo is turning 30 next summer, and he’s already been on everyone’s radar for over ten years. It all began during an HBO pay-per-view co-feature win over Jose Miguel Cotto in May 2010 on the Mayweather-Mosley undercard.

Since then, Canelo has fought a lot of bouts he was supposed to win and did just that. These included facing seasoned boxers and winning titles:

  • Floyd Mayweather (Draw)
  • Alfredo Angulo
  • Erislandy Lara
  • James Kirkland
  • Miguel Cotto
  • Amir Khan
  • Liam Smith
  • Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.
  • Gennadiy Golovkin
  • Rocky Fielding
  • Daniel Jaco

Sergey Kovalev’s Path to Saturday Night

Many consider the 36-year-old to be well past his prime. However, the Russian holds a pretty significant size advantage over Canelo and has a history of victories and titles that add up. Some of his career highlights include:

  • Gabriel Campillo
  • Cornelius White
  • Nathan Cleverly
  • Ismayl Sillah
  • Cedric Agnew
  • Blake Caparello
  • Bernard Hopkins
  • Jean Pascal
  • Nadjib Mohammedi
  • Isaac Chilemba

After his fight against Chilemba, Kovalev’s career hit a rough patch. He lost against Andre Ward twice, and Eleider Alvarez. However, after recalibrating with new trainer Buddy McGirt, he won a rematch against Alvarez. He regained the WBO light heavyweight title. He then defended his title against young Brit Anthony Yarde.

What Boxer Is The Favorite?

Most odds and experts favor Canelo with lines between -400 and -500. This makes him a solid favorite, with Kovalev listed between +250 and +400.

Kovalev hasn’t been an underdog since his rematch with Ward. How ever you look at it, this fight is going to be epic, and picking a favorite is fun and risky either way.

Canelo vs. Kovalev Fight Card

Favorite Underdog Weight Class
Canelo Alvarez -500 Sergey Kovalev +350 WBO Light Heavyweight

Boxing Match Information

  • Date: Saturday, Nov. 2 | Time: 9 p.m. ET (6 p.m. PT)
  • Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena — Las Vegas, Nevada
  • TV/Stream: DAZN (subscription required)
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