CONCACAF Gold Cup 2019: Betting Preview – Odds And Predictions
The Gold Cup is a soccer tournament that’s played every two years to find out the best team inside North America, Central America, and the Caribbean region. The United States arrives at the tournament as the current champions, but they will have a tough time winning it back-to-back. The Gold Cup will start on June 15 and will end with the final on July as 16 teams aim to get the trophy.
There will be three host nations for the first time ever, but 95% of the games will be played in the States. Costa Rica and Jamaica are the other two host countries. The tournament presents a great chance to make money during the entire month with future odds and daily games. Let’s take a look at the chances of the majority of the teams in the 2019 Gold Cup.
Odds To Win The 2019 Gold Cup
Of course, Mexico is the favorite to win the Gold Cup once again. The Mexicans have won seven of these trophies and are the nation with the most titles. The team failed to reach the final in 2017, and they can’t afford to go two tournaments in a row without winning it. Mexico will be under coach Gerardo “El Tata” Martino for the first time. If you are an MLS enthusiast, you will realize Martino was the coach of the Atlanta United last season, which ended winning the MLS Cup. He also coached FC Barcelona for a year and the Argentina national team.
His imprint on the team is to have a fast attack and ball possession. He likes an attacking playing style without giving anything away on defense. Martino hopes to get the most of a team that will miss a few big names like Chicharito Hernandez and Miguel Layún. But even with those absent, the team is loaded to win another Gold Cup. The main guy to follow is striker Raul Jimenez, who plays for Wolverhampton in the English Premier League. Jimenez is coming off his best season with the team. He was a huge playmaker on offense and helped the Wolves get a seventh-placed in the EPL table.
Mexico is the favorite to advance as first place in group A over Canada, Martinique, and Cuba. They shouldn’t have any problems winning each of those challenges. “El Tri” will find some real opponents once they get to the semifinals. In the last tournament in 2017, they were shocked by Jamaica during that stage. To bet Mexico to win the Gold Cup a $100 will get you $135 in return. Those odds will come be chopped off once the tournament starts advancing. That bet has a 43% implied probability of becoming a winner.
Team USA is Mexico’s number one rival and current champion of the tournament. They have won the Gold Cup six times, and another victory will put them tied in first place with Mexico in the all-time list. However, as I said in the beginning, it is going to be difficult for team USA to win the 2019 tournament. First, their coach Gregg Berhalter is in the early stages of finding the right starting 11. Whatever he’s been doing in the past months, it doesn’t seem to be working.
In two preparations games two weeks before the tournament the team lost to Jamaica (0-1) and Venezuela (0-3) in an ugly fashion. It might come together during the tournament, and maybe the team finds its way, but it doesn’t look good right now. There is also an enormous amount of pressure for this to go well. After missing the World Cup in 2018, a bad Gold Cup performance could be devastating for Berhalter the rest of the USA national team.
Even the politics are playing a factor as part of the pressure. Several players in the women’s team USA has raised the voice saying they deserve to get paid as much as the men. Just imagine the women winning the World Cup that’s been played in France right now, and the men having a bad Gold Cup tournament. It would be a terrible look. Team USA will share group D with Panama, Trinidad and Tobago and Guyana. They shouldn’t have a problem to get out of the group stage, but the tricky part comes after that. The United States is listed +150 to win the tournament, with an implied probability of 40% chance. There is not enough value there.
The I Can’t Believe They Have Never Won The Cup Bunch
Costa Rica +800
Costa Rica is widely acknowledged as the third best team inside the CONCACAF. They even got deeper in the 2014 World Cup than Mexico and the United States. But somehow, the Ticos don’t do well in the Gold Cup. The most the Ticos have gotten it is the second place back in 2002 when they had a very talented squad. For the current tournament, they will have a mixture of new and veteran players, trying to get the best unit to compete. For example, Bryan Ruiz, the hero of Brazil 2014 for Costa Rica, will be in the lineup. Yet, he spent most of the 2019 season dealing with a back injury and barely playing o his team in Brazil.
The most significant absent is Real Madrid’s goalie Keylor Navas. He withdrew from participating in the Gold Cup for personal reasons. Not having Navas is a massive blow for the Ticos chances to win the tournament for the first time. Costa Rica will be led by new manager Gustavo Matosas. He has never been in charge of a national team, although he had a great run in the Liga MX winning two championships with Leon in 2013 and 2014. Costa Rica is listed at +800 to win its first Gold Cup with an implied probability of 11%. The Ticos haven’t shown a great form since getting to the quarterfinals of the 2014 World Cup. It’s been a while.
Honduras has had excellent generations of players in the past, but they haven’t been able to make a deep run in the Gold Cup. In fact, the only time they reached the final was back in 1991 when the first tournament was played. This current generation might be one of the weakest Honduras has put together for a Gold Cup. Don’t get me wrong, there is talent in the squad, but the chemistry is way off. A week before the tournament they played Brazil and were humiliated losing 7-0. Even if Honduras seems like a team with some value at +2000, I would stay away from them. I would bet them in the right place during the group stage, but not to win the whole thing.
The Bracket Destroyers Which Will Be Fun To Bet
If you like long-shot bets with lots of value, then Jamaica is the team to bet on. The Jamaicans have reached the Gold Cup final in the last two editions, first losing to Mexico and then to the US. They have been unlucky in the finals, but they are right there. At +1000, Jamaica has an implied probability of 9% of winning the Cup. The Jamaicans are led by coach Theodore Whitmore, who used to play for the national team not so long ago.
He was a fantastic player who played in the 1998 World Cup and the only style on his mind is attacking soccer. Jamaica should win group C with Honduras, El Salvador, and Curacao, and after that, it will be an open field to bust the bracket and shock the favorites.
After Panama reached its first World Cup in Russia 2018, the expectations to become a powerhouse in CONCACAF are now set. If teams don’t take the Panamanians with respect, they might regret it. Julio Dely Valdés is the interim coach on the team, but he has been around the national squad for several years, so he’s not new on the job. Panama reached the Gold Cup final twice in 2005 and 2013, but both times lost to the United States. At +1400, the Panamanians are an attractive choice to win the tournament. The experience and talent are there. Now it’s time to finish the job.
The Rest Of The Teams
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