Copa America 2019: Betting Preview – Odds To Win The Tournament

copa america 2019 quarter finals betting odds

copa america 2019 betting previewThe 46th edition of the Copa America will take place in Brazil from June 14 to the final on July 7. The tournament will host 12 teams looking for one of the biggest trophies in the national teams’ landscape. Chile won the cup in 2016 and 2017 and will be looking for a third triumph in a row. Besides the 10 teams from South America that are inside the CONMEBOL, two squads from Asia were invited. Japan will make its second Copa America participation while Qatar will make its debut.

The tournament is played in three groups of four teams each. The top of the group and the second place will advance to the quarterfinals, but also the two best third-places. Let’s take a look at the future odds for all these teams to win the competition.

Odds To Win The 2019 Copa America

Brazil +110

Brazil is one of the favorites in any tournament they are a part of, and even more if they are hosting it. The Selecao hasn’t won the Copa America since 2007, and that was also the last time they won any cup. Anything but ending with the title will be considered a failure for the Brazilians. The team will miss playmaker Neymar who suffered an injury two weeks before the start of the tournament. Missing Neymar would be a huge deal for most teams, but the Brazilians are so loaded in talent, it doesn’t even matter that much.

Coach Tite will have English Premier League strikers like Roberto Firmino, Gabriel Jesus and Willian at his disposal.  The playmaker David Neres, who had a fantastic season with Ajax, will also be available. At +110 Brazil has an implied probability of winning the Copa America of 48%. We can also find other bets at attached to the Canarinha. The Brazilians are -600 to win Group A over Peru, Venezuela, and Bolivia. That’s a lock. But also we can find Brazil at -150 to reach the final.

Argentina +350

If your team has Lionel Messi on the roster, then you become an instant favorite to win anything. Argentina is only behind Brazil in odds probability to win the Copa America. Messi has been a disappointing player whenever he has played with the national team, and that should be noted. The Barcelona player has played a World Cup and two Copa America finals, losing all three.

The last time Argentina won the Copa America, or any big nation’s tournament was back in 1993. That was 26 years ago and way too many years for a country that breaths soccer. They are pretty much obligated to make a run at the title this time. The motivation for Lio Messi is that if he wins in Brazil of all places, the narrative about his failures with the Argentinean national team will take a huge turnaround.

The problem is their coach, Lionel Scaloni is a fairly inexperienced guy at the position. Many have criticized that Argentina hasn’t put a good coach to lead this team in past tournaments; well, this is precisely the same problem in 2019. Argentina +350 to win the Copa America has a 22% implied probability. They are also -140 to win Group B over Colombia, Paraguay, and Qatar, but also +185 to reach the final. If you want to bet that Lionel Messi will finish as top scorer of the tournament you can find the Barcelona striker as the favorite at +300.

The Value Picks

Uruguay +700

No other team in South America has won more Copa America titles than Uruguay with 15. Their last victory was in 2011, and they are thirsty for more. The Uruguayans brought a veteran team for this tournament. The roster is filled with experienced players that could still make another run at the title. Luis Suarez is, of course, the guy to follow in the attack of this team. Suarez, who is an attacking partner of Lio Messi in Barcelona, didn’t have the best season in 2018-19, but he remains one of the best strikers in the world.

In fact, he’s listed the second favorite to end as the top scorer in the tournament at +800, only behind Messi. Uruguay has had the same coach, Oscar Tabarez, for the past 13 years. It is unusual for a national team, but it gives the players an exact idea of what he wants from them. The Uruguayans are +700 to win the tournament with a 12% implied probability to collect this bet. They are also favorites to win group C.

Colombia +900

Colombia is my value pick to win this tournament. This team is loaded with talent on every line, but especially in attack. History is against them because they have won the Copa America just once, but this is the only squad talented enough to go toe-to-toe with Brazil. The Colombians are inside group B with Argentina, so they are not getting respect as favorites. But they are listed +150 to win the group with is another valuable bet in my book. These two teams will square off right from the start of the tournament, and a surprise win by Colombia is very much possible. After it, they shouldn’t have problems against Paraguay and Qatar.

Colombia has been a very candid team in the last two World Cups. Their current generation of players is one of the best in the nation’s history led by James Rodriguez. Plus they will have a lot of support coming their way. Don’t underestimate the amount of Colombians fans traveling to Brazil for this tournament. During the Brazil 2014 World Cup, Colombia played basically as the home team with all fans that were in the stadium supporting them. At +900 Colombia has a 10% implied probability of winning the Copa America. If you want a team talented enough to make a run with longshot odds, there isn’t a better option than the Colombians.

Chile +1200

The Chileans are the current title holders after beating Lio Messi and Argentina twice in the last two finals. For them to have a shot a three-peat, a lot of things have to go their way, but the players do have championship experience.  Chile won the Copa America under two different coaches. Now they are looking for another one with a third different manager. Chile presents a lot of value because they are proven champs. The problem is they missed the Russia 2018 World Cup and their golden generation of players is getting old.

The Rest Of The Teams

PERU +2500
JAPAN +8000
QATAR +10000

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Alonzo Solano

Alonzo Solano - Sports Analyst & Picks Writer

Alonzo is a Sports Analyst who has covered College Football and NFL odds for SafestBettingSites but don’t be surprised if you read him on any other sport. He’s a gaming analyst looking for winners every weekend.

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