Week 10 is in the books. In this article, we will recap the finishes of each team in Week 10 and look at the opening odds for each game in the coming week and the early line so far. All odds are from BetOnline.ag (Full Review) and are accurate as of writing. However, please line shop before placing a bet at multiple sportsbooks to get the best price on your wager.
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Thursday Night Football – New Orleans Saints +3 at Carolina Panthers -3 Total: 52
The Saints head to Carolina this week that will be critical for their postseason hopes. New Orleans lost in heartbreaking fashion in Week 10, after the Broncos blocked an extra point and returned it for a two-point conversion. Denver won the game 25-23, and New Orleans fell to 4-5 with the loss and third in the division.
Carolina continues their Super Bowl hangover last week by blowing a 17-0 lead against the Chiefs at home. They ultimately lost the game 20-17, and their record fell to 3-6, which put them last in NFC South.
The early odds opened with Carolina -4. Betting action has been slightly in favor of the Saints. The odds have moved from Panthers -4 to Panthers -3 across the board. The total opened at 53.5 points. Over 75 percent of the money has gone on the over. Despite that, the total has moved to 51.5 and 52 points, depending on your sportsbook.
Tennessee Titans +3 at Indianapolis Colts -3 Total: 52.5
The Titans blew out the Packers last week 47-25 in Nashville, which improved their record for 5-5 for the year after a rough start to the season. They’re now second in the AFC South, and still in the race for a playoff seed, because of the mediocre division.
The Colts are coming off a bye in Week 10. Their last game was a victory at Green Bay, a game they won 31-26. The win put them at 4-5, just a game behind the Titans. With the Texans at 6-3, the division is still up for grabs for both Indianapolis and Tennessee.
Betting action on this game has been mostly even, with a slight edge to the Titans. The odds opened at Indianapolis -3, which is where they still stand at just about every sportsbook online. The total started at 53.5. Although over 80 percent have come in on the over so far, the total has moved to 52.5 at most bookmakers.
Jacksonville Jaguars +6.5 at Detroit Lions -6.5 Total: 47
Despite plenty of preseason hype, Jacksonville continues to be one of the worst teams in the NFL. They dropped their fourth straight game last Sunday in a 24-21 home loss to the Houston Texans. At 2-7, it’s a lost season for the Jaguars who are in last place in the AFC South.
The Lions are coming off a bye in Week 10. They’ve turned their season around by winning three of their last five games, including a 22-16 overtime victory at Minnesota on November 6th. They’re now first in the NFC North with a 5-4 record after the Packers loss last week.
Detroit opened as a -7 favorite in this game. However, after over 70 percent of bets have come in on the Lions, the odds have moved to -6.5. The total has also seen lopsided action. The over has seen 80 percent of bets so far, which has pushed the line up slightly to 47.5 at some sportsbooks.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 at Kansas City Chiefs -7 Total: 44
The Bucs made easy work of the visiting Chicago Bears last Sunday, blowing out them out by a score 36-10. Suddenly, Tampa Bay’s season has new light after starting the year 1-4 and losing their last two games. They’re now sitting in second place in the NFC South with a 4-5 record.
Kansas City is now tied for the best record in the AFC after winning at Carolina in a come from behind victory 20-17. They are first in the AFC West with a 7-2 record, but the Raiders are right there with them with an identical record. They hold the advantage in the head-to-head tiebreaker after defeating them in Oakland earlier this season.
The odds for this opened with the Chiefs -7.5. Action on both sides has been mostly even. At some sportsbooks, the Chiefs are -7, but with heavy vig. At others, they’re still at -7.5 with more attractive juice. Over 70 percent of bets have come in on the over, but the odds haven’t moved at most sportsbooks.
Chicago Bears +7 at New York Giants -7 Total: 45.5
The Bears can’t seem to turn things around, even when the rest of the division is struggling. Chicago fell to 2-7, after being beaten badly on the road at Tampa Bay 36-10. They also got some rough news earlier today. Their number one wide receiver, Alshon Jeffery, will be suspended for four games due to violating the NFL’s substance-abuse policy.
New York is coming off a close 21-20 Monday Night win against the Bengals. It’s a short week for the G-Men, but they didn’t need to travel, as last week’s game was also in East Rutherford. The victory moved their record to 6-3 on the season, which is good enough for second place in the NFC East.
The spread opened at New York -7, which is where is stands at most sportsbooks. However, after garnering 80 percent of all bets, some sportsbooks have moved the odds to Giants -7.5. The total hasn’t seen much movement off the 45.5 opener.
Arizona Cardinals pk at Minnesota Vikings pk Total: 41
Arizona seems to have righted the ship after starting the season with a 1-3 record. They beat the visiting San Francisco 49ers last week, but the score line was a little too close for comfort. They won the game by just three points, in a 23-20 victory, but were favored by 14 points. The win improved their record to 4-4-1 on the season. They’re currently second in the AFC West.
Minnesota had many convinced they were Super Bowl contenders after starting the season 5-0. They gave up a lot to trade for Sam Bradford from the Eagles, and it looked to be the right move. However, since starting the season 5-0, they have lost four straight, including a 20-26 loss at Washington last week. They’re currently second in the NFC North with a 5-4 record, but only due to a tiebreaker with the Lions, which have an identical record.
The spread opened as a pk, which is where it still stands at most sportsbooks, with some giving the Cardinals a small -1 advantage. The total is among the lowest of Week 11. It opened at 41 points and has dropped to 40.5 across the industry.
Buffalo Bills +2.5 at Cincinnati Bengals -2.5 Total: 47
The Bills head to Cincinnati after a bye week in Week 10. Buffalo last played on Monday Night on Nov. 7th, losing 25-31 at Seattle. The defeat dropped their record to 4-5 on the season. The Bills may have an outside shot at a playoff spot, but every game is a must-win now.
Few teams have fallen harder than Cincinnati this season. After winning the AFC North last year, the Bengals have managed just a 3-5-1 record so far. They’re coming off a short week after a narrow loss to the Giants at New York on Monday Night 20-21.
Betting action has been heavy on the Bills at, with almost 70 percent of wagers coming in on Buffalo. Many sportsbooks haven’t moved much off the Bengals -3 opener, while others have adjusted the odds to Cincy -2.5. The total is seeing even action on both sides and has not moved off the opening total of 47 points.
Baltimore Ravens +7 at Dallas Cowboys -7 Total: 45
The Ravens are coming off a Thursday Night Football home win against the Cleveland Browns. Baltimore is well rested after dispatching the Browns 28-7. They’re now in first place in the AFC North, with a 5-4 record.
No team is hotter than the Dallas Cowboys right now. They haven’t lost a game since Week 1 and improved their record to 8-1 on the year with a standout victory at Pittsburgh last week. Dallas rallied late to take the lead and rookie running back Ezekiel Elliot amassed over 200 total yards and three touchdowns.
Dallas opened as -6.5 favorites, but with over 70 percent of bets being placed on the Cowboys, this quickly moved to -7. It’s also at Dallas -7.5 at some bookmakers. The total opened at 43.5, but after heavy betting action on the over, it moved to 45 points.
Pittsburgh Steelers -7.5 at Cleveland Browns +7.5 Total: 49
Pittsburgh was defeated at home by the visiting Cowboys last week 30-35. The Steelers were a team that were thought to be Super Bowl contenders coming into the year, but they now find themselves with a 4-5 record after three straight losses. They’re still very much in the playoff race, however, due to the AFC North’s futility this season.
Cleveland is the only team in the league without a win. They’re now 0-10 on the season after losing to the Ravens on Thursday Night Football last week. Starting quarterback Cody Kessler was benched last week for veteran Josh McCown, but head coach Hue Jackson reiterated that Kessler would start this week.
The Steelers opened as -10 favorites on the road. They have received over 80 percent of bets early on, but the odds have moved down to -7.5 at sportsbooks across the board. The total is now at 48.5 or 49 depending on your shop, after opening at 49.5 points.
Miami Dolphins -1.5 at Los Angeles Rams +1.5 Total: 40
The Dolphins have gotten themselves back into playoff contention with a string of wins after they started the season 1-3. Miami won a 31-24 shootout with the Chargers in San Diego last week. A game they forced Phillip Rivers into four interceptions.
The Jared Goff era begins for the Rams this Sunday, as head coach Jeff Fisher finally decided to bench incumbent starter, Case Keenum, for the first overall pick in this year’s draft. L.A. is coming off a low-scoring 9-6 win over the Jets, which moved their overall record to 4-5.
The Rams opened as -1 favorites in this game, but after Goff was announced as the starter, the market shifted to Miami -1.5. The Fins are receiving more than 80 percent of all wagers. The total is the lowest in Week 11. It opened at 41 points but has settled in at 40 points after the Goff news.
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