Six years after the Breaking Bad finale episode shocked the nation, the youngest of the meth-cooking masters, Jesse Pinkman (Aaron Paul), is back. “El Camino: A Breaking Bad Movie” will be released on Netflix on October 11, 2019.
Luckily for us, in this day and age, there are betting odds on everything. We found a few for the movie, mostly attached to Jesse Pinkman’s faith in this story.
Recap of Breaking Bad’s Last Episode
Before going into the odds, let’s do a quick recap of what happened six years ago during “Felina”, the last episode of the AMC blockbuster series.
The last episode was broadcasted on September 29, 2013. Walter White (Bryan Cranston) successfully takes revenge on the Aryan Brotherhood gang, by shooting every member with an M60 machine gun.
The Aryan Brotherhood had killed his brother-in-law Hank (Dean Norris) days before.
White also liberates Pinkman, who was being held hostage by the same gang.
Spoiler Alert
I know it’s been six years, but there are people literally watching this show for the first time:
Walter White dies after getting shot by the same machine gun that killed everyone in the Aryan Brotherhood gang. He got shot protecting Jesse. Although, it hardly mattered for him as we know he was already doomed with terminal cancer.
To me, it is one of the best finales of a show in TV history. I’m sure I’m not alone.
Fast forward to El Camino Trailer:
The trailer gives us the idea that the movie is picking up the story not long after Pinkman was released from captivity. He looks awful with a beard and long hair, similar to the last episode of the series.
It also shows several of his scars in an attempt to remind us of how everything ended and the fact that he was tortured for weeks.
Now here’s where it gets interesting:
BetOnline.ag has odds about the way Jesse Pinkman will die during the film. After all, everybody has died on this show, and Pinkman is the only main character still alive.
How Will Jesse Pinkman Die? El Camino Betting Odds
| Death | Odds |
|---|---|
| Gunshot | +300 |
| Knife or Axe | +400 |
| Blunt force | +600 |
| Poison | +600 |
| Car accident | +700 |
| Suicide | +800 |
| Overdose | +1,000 |
| Pushed off building | +1,200 |
| Electrocution | +2,000 |
| Drowning | +3,300 |
| Buried Alive | +3,300 |
| Burned alive | +3,300 |
| Crossbow | +3,300 |
Analysis of possibilities
Whenever betting on a TV show or a movie, it is always a good idea to look for a mid-range profitable wager.
Gun, knife, poison or a car accident are not extravagant enough options for the development of the show. It doesn’t match.
Remember, this show is considered by many the best-drama shows in TV history. Whether you agree or not, it has some of the best writing we’ve seen this century.
That’s why I like Overdose +,1000 as a pick. If you remember, Jesse’s girlfriend Jane Margolis (Krysten Ritter) dies of an overdose during Breaking Bad: Season 2.
Pinkman keeps referencing and remembering Jane during the rest of the series. It would be somehow poetic, in a bizarre way, if he died the same way.
But here’s the problem with these odds: I can’t see Jesse Pinkman dying in this El Camino Movie.
Nothing suggests he will.
BetOnline also has odds on whether Jesse Pinkman will die in the Breaking Bad movie.
Will Jesse Pinkman Die in El Camino?
- Yes +110
- No -150
The creator of Breaking Bad, Vince Gilligan, is a very secretive person. Dean Norris, the actor who played Hank in Breaking Bad, stated during a radio appearance on ESPN’s Dan Lebatard show that Gilligan has forbidden everybody on the cast to speak about anything in the movie.
Breaking Bad is a “one in a century” kind of show, and it’s Gilligan’s baby. He’s so obsessed with it, he even wrote the spin-off “Better Call Saul” of it.
Six years later, he’s still pushing forward with the same topic. I can see another Breaking Bad movie in the future and for that to work we need Jesse Pinkman alive.
Why Jesse Pinkman May NOT Die In El Camino
I’m taking another step further with this: Aaron Paul hasn’t had any luck in any major movies since Breaking Bad ended.
Paul tried to do an unsuccessful Need for Speed movie that received awful criticism. The film was on theaters months after the BB finale, but that still didn’t help box office numbers.
Paul has also been a cast member of Netflix’s BoJack Horseman for five seasons, providing the voice for Todd Chavez.
However successful and beloved the show has been, it has come to an end: the sixth and final season of BoJack Horseman will be released in two installments in October of 2019 and January of 2020.
Just like Vince Gilligan needs to keep riding this horse, Aaron Paul needs to be acting as Jesse Pinkman. It’s the role of his lifetime.
Additional Betting Odds On El Camino
Will Walter White appear?
- Yes -2,000
- No +,1000
Will Pollos Hermanos be shown?
- Yes -200
- No +150
Will Saul Goodman appear?
- Yes -500
- No +300
Will “Gray Matter” Be Said?
- Yes +300
- No -500
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