Kentucky Derby 2021 Race Preview, Betting Odds & Picks

Kentucky Derby Horse Racing Betting Preview & Odds

The 2020 Kentucky Derby is the most famous horse race in America. The event, normally scheduled for May, pits 18 3-year-old colts and geldings against each other at a distance of 1 1/4-miles. Most of them have not raced this far.

There is a lot of speculation and hype surrounding the 2020 Kentucky Derby contenders. This year’s field has three short-priced favorites and several hopefuls who could hit the board at long odds.

When And Where Will The Kentucky Derby Take Place In 2021?

  • Date: Saturday, September 5, 2020 at 2:30 p.m. ET
  • Place: Churchill Downs, Louisville, Kentucky

Kentucky Derby 2021 Betting Odds

Horse Odds
Tiz the Law (3-5) (+175)
Honor A. P. (5-1) (+525)
Ny Traffic (20-1) (+2000)
Authentic (8-1) (+800)
Thousand Words (15-1) (+1700)
Attachment Rate (50-1) (+4000)
Money Moves (30-1) (+5000)
Sole Volante (30-1) (+3500)
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Let’s take a pro/con look at the top contenders, plus a couple of possible longshot surprises.

Tiz the Law (3-5) (+175)

  • Pros:  Tiz the Law is undefeated as a 3-year-old. He’s already won at ten furlongs in the Travers Stakes. He has one of the classiest, classic distance pedigrees in the field. He’s an athletic, determined competitor who likes to press the pace. These types are most likely to win the Kentucky Derby.
  • Cons: Tiz the Law’s sole career defeat was at Churchill Downs. Further, he drew a far outside post in between two other horses with similar running styles.
  • The Play:  Use him in win and exotic bets.

Honor A. P. (5-1) (+525)

  • Pros:  Honor A. P.  could be Tiz the Law’s biggest threat. The large, muscular colt has won or placed in all five career starts, including a comfortable victory in the Santa Anita Derby (G1) over Kentucky Derby rival Authentic. 
  • Cons: The second-place finish in the Shared Belief Stakes behind Kentucky Derby rival Thousand Words in Honor A.P.’s last race is concerning, but not unexpected since he ran a career-best race in the Santa Anita Derby. He should be poised to move forward.
  • The Play:  Use him in win and exotic bets.

Ny Traffic (20-1) (+2000)

  • Pros:  Ny Traffic has been one of the most consistent horses this year, finishing in the money in all five starts. He looked like a beaten horse in the Haskell, yet came back with a swift late move to almost nail Authentic on the wire.  Ny Traffic galloped out much the best. His speed figures are on an upward trend, and he could surprise.
  • Cons: Ny Traffic has been in the money in all four stakes races this year, but hasn’t won any of them. He came closest in his last race when facing graded stakes winner Authentic, who is considered one of the best California horses in training.
  • The Play:  Use him in win and exotic bets.

Authentic (8-1) (+800)

  • Pros:  Authentic has won all but one race, and that was a 2 3/4-length loss in the Santa Anita Derby (G1) to Honor  A. P.
  • Cons: Authentic has a distance challenged pedigree and proved it with a loss in the Santa Anita Derby. Plus, he was desperate to hold of Ny Traffic by a nose in the 1 1/8-mile Haskell after Authentic set easy, unpressured fractions.  Authentic likes to set the pace, and he’ll have to use energy from the far outside post.
  • The Play:  Use him in exotic bets.


Thousand Words (15-1) (+1700)

  • Pros:  Thousand Words beat Honor A. P. in the Shared Belief Stakes in their last Kentucky Derby prep race. He’s finished off the board only twice in his life. He’s stronger at shorter distances, yet if he is forwardly placed and gained confidence from his last victory, he could earn a minor award.
  • Cons: Thousand Words, the stablemate of Authentic, was a distant second in the 1 1/8-mile Los Alamitos Derby, hinting that distance might be a challenge.
  • The Play:  Use him in exotic bets.

Attachment Rate (50-1) (+4000)

  • Pros:  Attachment Rate has shown speed figure improvement in his last three starts. When he gets a clean trip, he’s capable of hitting the board. The talent is there, and he’s another who could screw up the lower exotics with a clean trip.
  • Cons: Vote him most likely to find trouble. He is continually bumping into other horses, having to steady behind horses, or has trouble getting out of the gate.
  • The Play:  Use him in exotic bets.

Money Moves (30-1) (+5000)

  • Pros:  Money Moves is a lightly raced colt with only three-lifetime starts. He’ll face a real test in Kentucky. However, His speed figures are going in the right direction, and in his last race, the Todd Pletcher trainee battled with an older, graded stakes-winner, and Money Moves just missed the victory.
  • Cons:  Many lightly raced Pletcher runners can’t handle the pressure of the Kentucky Derby. He may not have the fitness to handle 1 1/4-miles.
  • The Play:  I think he’s shown enough that he’s worth a place on at least some of your tickets. Use him in exotic bets.

Sole Volante (30-1) (+3500)

  • Pros:  Sole Volante has a late run with a breathtaking closing kick. He’s finished out of the money only once in seven career starts. Although he lost his last race, he was returning only ten days after winning and may not have liked the track.
  • Cons: Sole Volante’s worse finish was in the 1 1/8-mile Belmont Stakes, where he placed an inexplicable sixth.
  • The Play:  If Sole Volante is back to his usual self, he could have a say in the outcome of the race. One-run closers typically finish second or third in the Kentucky Derby. Use him in exotic bets.

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