Matt Winn Stakes Betting Preview, Odds & Favorites 2020

Matt Winn Stakes Betting Preview, Odds & Favorites 2020

A dozen 3-year-old colts and geldings will contest 1 1/18-miles worth 50 Kentucky Derby qualifying points to the victor.

Post time for the 2020 Matt Winn Stakes is 5:44 pm, ET at Churchill Downs. Although scattered showers are forecast, the track is expected to be fast. 

Matt Winn Stakes Betting Odds

#2 PNEUMATIC (4-1) (+400)

• Pros: What’s not to like about an undefeated son of Uncle Mo out of a stakes-placed three-quarter sister to Grade 1 winner Pyro? Asmussen has been patient with this colt, and he should be ready for the next step. Note the second-to-last bullet breeze to perk him up.
• Cons: Pneumatic is stepping up in class, and although he was much the best last time out, he was rank during the race. He can’t play games against a more experienced stakes company.
• The Play: Use him on top and underneath on your tickets.

#10 MAXFIELD (5-2) (+250)

• Pros: After a runaway victory in last year’s Breeders’ Futurity (G1) at Keeneland, Maxfield was sidelined with an ankle chip. If he returns to last year’s form, he could outclass this field.
• Cons: Trainer Brendan Walsh has a 15% win rate with horses returning off a long layoff. There are a lot of questions surrounding this colt, mainly, is he fit enough to handle more experienced horses at nine furlongs in his first race back?
• The Play: Maxfield is the Matt Winn wildcard. I would add him to all bets, just in case. Use him on top and underneath on your tickets.

#9 SHAKE SOME ACTION (12-1) (+1200)

• Pros: Draw a line through the Louisiana Derby. Shake Some Action had a terrible trip. Note the positive jock change to Castellano, who won previously at nine furlongs with this son of Into Mischief.
• Cons: Shake Some Action’s speed figures aren’t as high as some others.
• The Play: Logical longshot. Use him on top and underneath on your tickets.

#1 MYSTIC GUIDE (15-1) (+1500)

• Pros: Out of a multiple Grade 1 winner, Mystic Guide is a well-bred colt bred to run all day. The Michael Stidham trainee looked good outclassing maidens at the Fair Grounds in his last start, and it earned him a Brisnet triple-digit late-pace speed figure.
• Cons: Mystic Guide is jumping into graded stakes company after winning his maiden. His half-siblings haven’t lived up to expectations, and this guy could be any kind. Additionally, he may have no early speed, which could hinder him from post #1.
• The Play: Use underneath.

#6 NY TRAFFIC (10-1) (+1000)

• Pros: Pace-setting Ny Traffic shortens up and looks like he could be lone speed.
• Cons: Ny Traffic is talented, and tries hard; he just doesn’t have the ability or pedigree to win at nine furlongs and farther.
• The Play: He might hit the exotics if they leave him alone to set a glacial early pace. Use him if you’re placing multiple bets. Otherwise, pass.

#12 MAJOR FED (5-1) (+500)

• Pros: He’s made up ground in his last three starts, and Joel Rosario should be able to work out a decent trip while avoiding trouble.
• Cons: The far outside means another wide trip for Major Fed. He’s made up ground in every start, yet he never seems to get to the wire first.
• The Play: Perhaps he can hang on for third or fourth place. Use him if you’re placing multiple bets. Otherwise, pass.

#11 ATTACHMENT RATE (4-1) (+400)

• Pros: Attachment Rate has been a consistent trifecta runner. He is bred to improve with maturity and distance. John Velazquez takes over the reins.
• Cons: Attachment Rate is consistent, but has won only once in five starts. He’s facing a tougher field and will have his work cut out for him.
• The Play: Pass.

#3 INFORMATIVE (20-1) (+2000)

• Pros: Informative occasionally jumps up and runs a big race.
• Cons: With one victory in nine starts, Informative let us know that he’s really not into winning.
• The Play: Pass.

#4 CELTIC STRIKER (20-1) (+2000)

• Pros: Speedy Celtic Striker could contest the early pace. He has a good/bad race form and is due for a good race.
• Cons: Celtic Striker showed that he’s not stakes quality when he was whipped by a combined 57 lengths in both stakes races at Aqueduct.
• The Play: Pass.

#5 FLAP JACK (20-1) (+2000)

• Pros: Flap Jack is bred to enjoy longer distances.
• Cons: Flap Jack has done well on the turf and all-weather, but his dirt performances are lacking.
• The Play: Pass.

#7 NECKER ISLAND (15-1) (+1500)

• Pros: If Necker Island can get back to front-running ways, he might have a shot at the exotics. He is two-for-two at Churchill.
• Cons: Once this colt is passed, it’s game over for him. He hasn’t shown that he’s capable of running with stakes quality colts.
• The Play: Pass.

#8 CRYPTO CASH (20-1) (+2000)

• Pros: Crypto Cash passed tiring rivals to improve to sixth from near the back of the Arkansas Derby (G1) field.
• Cons: His speed figures aren’t up to par against this company, and he hasn’t fared well against lesser stakes company.
• The Play: Pass.

Joseph Falchetti - Editor-in-Chief, Pro Sports Bettor and Casino Expert

Joe is the author of the majority of sports betting pages on SBS and he serves as a gambling consultant to our content team. He's been mentioned on Forbes.com as a gaming analyst, and his articles have been linked by larger publications, such as the New York Times.

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