NBA Betting Effects of the Replay Review Rule Update
The league announced yesterday that there will be major changes to the replay system. Previously, referees could review plays that were close, such a possession when the ball goes out of bounds or if a player made a three-pointer or a two-pointer.
However, under these new NBA instant replay rules – which will be active for at least the 2019-20 season – coach’s will be able to challenge certain plays, provided they have a time out.
Sources: The NBA Board of Governors have passed the implementation of in-game challenge flags for head coaches for the 2019-20 season.
— Shams Charania (@ShamsCharania) July 9, 2019
Two Instant Replay Rules Approved
The NBA Board of Governors today unanimously approved two changes to instant replay rules.
#1: Coach’s Challenge – Instant Replay Review
The first change is the introduction of a Coach’s Challenge to trigger instant replay review of a limited set of matters. A version of the Coach’s Challenge that has been in effect in the NBA G League for the last two seasons and is being used at MGM Resorts NBA Summer League 2019.
It will be adopted in the NBA on a one-year trial basis during the 2019-20 season.
#2: Referees and Replay Center Can Trigger Reviews
The second change enables the NBA Replay Center (in addition to the on-court referees) to trigger instant replay in certain circumstances. This was successfully tested at MGM Resorts NBA Summer League 2018 and again at this year’s event. The process will be implemented for the 2019-20 NBA season.
How The Replay Challenges Work
The details of how the challenges work and what coaches can and cannot challenge have still not been formerly written, but here’s what we know so far:
How Will This Affect NBA Betting Markets?
I wouldn’t expect drastic changes, but the details haven’t been fully released either. Coaching intellect may be something to consider more when handicapping NBA games since there is only one challenge per game.
- Will coaches use a challenge early in the game on a play they can clearly win?
- Will they hold their challenge until late in the game in reserve in case of a critical play that may cost them the game?
I’m sure coaches will develop a strategy for challenges. If used correctly will undoubtedly add some value to his team’s winning percentage; albeit the difference may be small. We won’t know until the season begins and see how coaches employ their challenges.
Potentially New NBA Prop Bets
- “Will Both Coaches Use Their Challenge In This Game?”
- “Will Warriors’ Head Coach Steve Kerr Win His Challenge?”
NBA Live Betting Implications
One wagering aspect I immediately thought of when going over these rule changes was NBA live betting. In-play wagering, or live betting, has become increasingly popular over the past few years. Challenges should add another element to live betting basketball markets.
Beating the Sportsbooks Before a Challenge
It’s possible that sportsbooks suspend wagering when a coach issues a challenge. However, if you’re quick enough to place a bet before a coach calls a timeout or challenge – then you may beat the sportsbooks to the punch.
I’m sure there will be plenty of games where a late coach’s challenge decides a critical play and the outcome of the game. Bettors who can keep track of coaching tendencies and if coaches have used their challenges may have an edge here.
Use The Live Game To Your Advantage!
Remember, coaches have to do this on the fly. They will likely not have the advantage of viewing a replay before they choose to use their challenge.
Viewers or sports bettors watching at home may have a faster and better view of the action.
All this is something to think about in what should be one of the most exciting NBA seasons in quite a long time. Let’s see how the new instant replay review rules pan out during the upcoming season.