Andrew Luck Retiring Impacting The NFL Betting Odds
In a stunning decision, Andrew Luck abruptly retired from the NFL on Saturday night. The news came out of nowhere, and it shocked the sports world.
We haven’t seen a quarterback retire during his prime before, let alone one with such world-class talent like Luck. Sure, running backs, wideouts and others had called it quits before expected, but never a quarterback.
Andrew Luck’s decision to move on from football alters the entire scenario of the NFL. The online sportsbooks offering NFL bets immediately reacted, and the Colts odds changed drastically.
Colts Super Bowl LIV Odds Went From +1600 to +4000
Were the Colts favorites to win the Super Bowl with Andrew Luck under center? No.
Were the Colts contenders to win the Super Bowl? Yes, the Colts were contenders.
Indianapolis spent the last six years of Luck’s career putting together lousy teams for him to carry. In 2019, Indianapolis finally put together a good enough team around Andrew Luck.
That’s one thought the Colts fans will have a hard time wrapping their heads around.
Brisset Takes Over For Luck
With Luck’s retirement, Jacoby Brissett becomes the starting quarterback. Brissett is an ok thrower, but he’s not even close to Andrew Luck’s talent.
The reason they had a shot at the Super Bowl was solely because of Luck.
The Colts Super Bowl Odds Changed With Luck Gone
The Colts are now +4000 to win the Super Bowl LIV at MyBookie.ag.
Just a few hours before, Indy was at +1600 to win. The implied probability for this bet went from 6% to 2% in a matter of minutes.
Colts Odds To Win the AFC South Went From +120 to +340
The division odds to win the AFC South changed completely. Indy was the favorite to win the division at +120. Behind them were the Houston Texans (+220), the Jacksonville Jaguars (+375), and the Tennessee Titans (+650).
The division is wide open now. Houston is the current champion, and both Jacksonville and Tennessee have good enough teams to compete.
The Indianapolis Colts now have the third-worst odds to win the division at +340. The Texans are favorites at +190, followed by the Jaguars at +230. The Titans remain last at +370.
Current Betting Odds To Win AFC South
| TEAM | ODDS |
|---|---|
| Texans | +190 |
| Jaguars | +230 |
| Colts | +340 |
| Titans | +370 |
With the change of betting odds, the implied probability went from 45% to 23%. It remains decent, considering the significant drop in talent at the quarterback position.
It might take more than just +340 odds to have the public riding the Colts to win the division.
Colts Total Regular Season Wins Moved From 9.5 To 7.5
The people making the odds at MyBookie.ag set the bar at 9.5 wins before the news of the Andrew Luck’s retirement.
Now the odds have the win total at 7.5 for the Colts this season. Indy was above teams like the Steelers and Seahawks. They were just below the Saints and the Chargers in terms of expected victories in 2019.
Taking the Over has a -110 price and the Under -120.
Colts Vs. Chargers – NFL Week 1 Game Betting Line
The Colts will make their 2019 season debut against the Los Angeles Chargers in week one. The Chargers were listed -3 to win the game at home, but even as the news about a Luck’s lingering calf injury unfolded, the line stayed put.
Now with the retirement, things changed. Luck is worth between three and four points. The Chargers are now a touchdown favorite in the spread to win this week one meeting.
I won’t be shocked if that line keeps going up. The public will jump on this news and bet hard on Los Angeles during the next few weeks.
Bet On Indianapolis Colts – NFL Betting At MyBookie Sportsbook
Will the Colts still be a top contender this year? Betting odds changed with Andrew Luck retiring.
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