Super Bowl 2019 Betting Preview – New England Vs. Los Angeles | In-Depth Look
Well, the Super Bowl 2019 is set. Super Bowl LIII will feature the New England Patriots from the AFC and the Los Angeles Rams from the NFC. After the Wild Card and Divisional Rounds left us with some less than exciting games, the Conference Championships did not disappoint. Both came down to the wire and were ultimately decided in overtime. We take an in-depth look at both teams and the betting around them. And if you are new to betting online we recommend you read our Super Bowl 2019 Online Betting Guide.
The New England Patriots Super Bowl Chances
The Patriots sort of flew under the radar this season. Not so shockingly, they’re once again back in the Super Bowl after losing to the Eagles last year in Super Bowl 52. Their 11-5 regular season record got them a first-round bye, but not home-field-advantage. However, that didn’t matter much for the Pats. They decimated the visiting Chargers in the divisional round by a score of 41-28. At Arrowhead on Sunday, they got an early lead but needed to rally late. Chiefs then forced overtime, but the Patriots got the ball first and capped off their first drive with a Rex Burkhead touchdown.
There may be nothing that touches the Belichick-Brady dynasty. New England’s last Super Bowl was in 1960 before the duo came together. They got their first title together in 2002, but have won four more times, in 2004, 2005, 2015, and 2017. Their five wins are impressive, but even more so, have been their Super Bowl appearances. Brady and Belichick have made 9 Super Bowl appearances, counting this year’s game in Super Bowl 53.
The Los Angeles Rams Super Bowl Chances
The Rams were preseason favorites to make the Super Bowl according to futures markets. That moved in favor of the Saints as the season ended, but Los Angeles took care of business on Sunday in New Orleans. Their 13-3 regular season record was no joke as they quickly took care of Dallas in the Divisional Round and managed to outlast the Saints at the Super Dome winning 26-23 in overtime.
It will be the first Super Bowl appearance for much of the roster, including the head coach, Sean McVay, and quarterback, Jared Goff. The franchise has just a single championship back in 2000, where they defeated the Tennessee Titans as the St. Louis Rams by a score of 23-16 in Super Bowl XXXIV. This will be the first Super Bowl appearance since the team moved back to Los Angeles for the start of the 2016 season.
Super Bowl 53 Opening Odds
The Super Bowl 53 odds briefly opened at pk, but have since moved in New England’s favor. Offshore betting king, Pinnacle Sports, still has the odds at Patriots -1.5 (-112) and Rams +1.5 (+101) but most other sites have moved to -2.5. At MyBookie.ag, the odds are Patriots -2.5 (-110) and Rams +2.5 (-110). You will see similar numbers across online betting sites.
Early NFL moneyline odds have New England at -130 to -140 to win the game outright. With the best Rams’ moneyline price at +115. The total opened quite high at 58.5, but that has been bet down to 58 as the early market shapes up. Both offenses are incredibly high scoring, so this total shouldn’t be shocking. There are a few sportsbooks that have the odds at 57.5 as of this writing.
Early Super Bowl 2019 Betting Predictions
Making a case for the Rams in this one is hard. I have not placed a bet yet, but I may do so after finishing this preview. I wouldn’t be shocked to see the Patriots at -3, sooner rather than later. I certainly think the Chiefs are a better team than the Rams and New England did an excellent job of going into Arrowhead and getting a victory in one of the harshest environments in the NFL. Talent wise, these teams are close, but I will give the edge to Belichick and Brady over McVay and Goff 100 times out of 100.
McVay has become somewhat of a darling when it comes to front office and coaching circles in the NFL. Teams have been searching for “the next McVay,” but behind the hype, we still see a coach making some poor choices. His decision to not go for it on 4th down on the half-yard line was pathetic.
Goff also didn’t look too comfortable against New Orleans. They’re a good defense, but the Rams offense has not been the well-oiled machine we saw in the first half of the season. Part of that may be the loss of Cooper Kupp, but their offensive numbers were due for some regression. Goff is more of a system quarterback than people want to believe. He’s not exactly accurate and missed many key throws against New Orleans.
New England’s offense should have no issues moving the ball against a Rams’ defense that has many big names but hasn’t played well. Up front, they are strong, but elsewhere – there are plenty of holes. Their secondary has been awful. It is tough to envision a path where they make it difficult for New England to score. When it comes to the total, the smart early bet is the under. If there a number that is assured to go down it will be the 58 points where it is currently is at most Super Bowl betting sites.
Early Super Bowl Picks: Patriots -2.5 and Under 58
Super Bowl 2019 Betting At MyBookie Sportsbook
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