NFL Best Bets Against The Spread – Week 2
We had an excellent Week 1, going 3-0 with the picks, notching wins with the Panthers over the Cowboys, Jaguars over the Giants, and Cleveland Browns the +4 spread against the Steelers in one of the worst football games I’ve seen in a while. Our YTD record is 3-0 through one Week 1. We’re back with another three plays this week. The odds below are from SportsBetting.ag which offers new bettors a 50% Welcome Bonus up to $1,000 on their first deposit. However, it’s always essential to line shop for the best price when betting on football.
Los Angeles Chargers (-7.5) Vs. Buffalo Bills (+7.5) Total: 42.5
The Bills have quickly been anointed as the NFL’s worst franchise after their 47-3 beatdown at Baltimore last week. It’s a new week for Buffalo, though, and a new face at quarterback, as first-round pick, Josh Allen, will make his first career NFL start against the Chargers this week. Los Angeles had plenty of hype coming into this season after narrowly missing the postseason last year. They were even favored to win the AFC West before the start of the year. Last week, they were beaten soundly by the Chiefs in their home opener, by a score of 38-28.
Early markets started with the Chargers at -8 in this one, but that has gone to -7.5 most sportsbooks, with some even at -7. Depending on where you look now, it’s -8 or -7.5, but most sites have increased vigorish on the Bills, such as SportsBetting.ag. The Bills may very well be the worst team in the NFL, but I am not sure that is something we can say after one week of football. Yes, they looked terrible in the preseason and last week, but they have traditionally played much better at home with the #BillsMafia faithful at New Era Field.
They have also made a change at quarterback from Peterman to Allen. Scouting reports have been less than flattering regarding Allen, but it would be tough to say he’s not at least a small improvement from Peterman. Well, I can dream. I am high on the Chargers this season, but this team isn’t exactly an elite franchise. Not only are they traveling from the West Coast to the East Coast for an early start, but I am not sure they’re justified as in this spot as more than a touchdown favorite.
Buffalo was still projected as a seven-win team at the beginning of the season, but that has seemingly gone out the window. The Chargers are far from a top team and are not deserving of this advantage. I wouldn’t be surprised if the Bills won this game outright.
Arizona Cardinals (+13) Vs. Los Angeles Rams (-13) Total: 45
The most-talked about team in the league as a Super Bowl contender is facing one of the worst looking teams from Week 1 (besides Buffalo) as the Cardinals head to L.A. to take on the Rams. The divisional game has the largest spread of the weekend, with the Los Angeles at a whopping -13. Arizona had an awful start to the year after facing the Redskins in their home opener and losing 24-6. The opposite was true for the Rams. After trailing the Raiders on Monday Night Football at halftime, they scored 23 unanswered points to win 33-13.
This game opened at Rams -10.5 earlier in the week. Bettors have been heavy on the Rams so far, and the spread has been pushed to -13 and -13.5 at some spots. Arizona sure looked awful in their first game of the season, but much like my reasoning for the Bills above – I think this is a bit of market overreaction. They’re certainly going to lose this game, but +13 and +13.5 seem like far too many points to a team with several premier NFL talents, in Larry Fitzgerald, David Johnson, and even a shutdown cornerback, Patrick Peterson.
There are enough Cardinals that can make plays that this spread should be a bit lower in my mind. There are also two additional factors that help Arizona. The Raiders are coming off a short week after playing late Monday Night, and this is a divisional game, which traditionally produces more effort from both sides.
New York Giants (+3) Vs. Dallas Cowboys (-3) Total: 42.5
Sunday Night Football is an all NFC-East battle with the Giants taking on the Cowboys in Dallas. Both teams had a rough Week 1. New York was competitive with Jacksonville until Eli Manning threw a game-ending pick-six. Tell me you’ve seen that before. Dallas looked completely out of sorts in a game at Carolina. The Cowboys opened at -3.5 in this contest, but that has gone down to -3 at just about every sportsbook online. The total began at 43.5 points before moving to 42.5 across the board.
I know this is “best bets against the spread” article, but we’re throwing a total into the mix. Both offenses are capable of scoring 28 points, especially when you consider their strong cast of skill players, such as Odell Beckham and Ezekiel Elliot. Heck, Beckham may score two touchdowns himself in this one. There isn’t a lot to like from either of these teams on the defense side. I see this game closer a lot closer to 45 points compared the 42.5 that the oddsmakers are currently projecting.