Alabama Vs. LSU – College Football Week 10 Picks
Alabama Vs. LSU Predictions
The biggest game of the week will be played at Baton Rouge. It’s not a surprise Alabama and LSU clash in meaningful SEC contest, but this one seems bigger than life. The oddsmakers at Mybookie.ag have Alabama as a 14.5-point favorite on the road. The betting line opened with Bama as a 14-point favorite. I can see the betting line going up and down but no more than half a point. Right now, 53% of the betting public is taking the home team with the points. It’s a rivalry game and not every day you get such a good team like LSU with points at home.
Of course, the reason is the best team in the nation is on the other side. Head coach Nick Saban doesn’t want to admit it, but this is by far the best Alabama team of his tenure. Saban has all-stars on defense, allowing just 15.9 points per game (10th) this season, but on top of it, this time he has the best offense in College Football. That’s just unfair. Alabama averages 54.1 points per game (1st) this year, and that’s thanks to QB Tua Tagovailoa. They have scored over 50 points in six of their eight games played and twice of those wins, they scored over 60 points. Missouri was able to “hold them” to 39 points two weeks ago; their lowest of the season.
Tagovailoa has thrown for 2066 yards, 25 touchdowns, and zero interceptions this season. That’s even without playing most of the fourth quarters. Tua is -400 at Sportsbetting.ag to win the Heisman Trophy. No one else is even close. LSU gives up 15.1 points per game (7th). Their defense hasn’t faced an offense like this one, but the unit remains the key to stay in this contest. When playing at home, they have allowed 12.6 points per game.
Bama has won eight of their last ten games in the series against LSU. It’s hard to call it a rivalry when it has been so one-sided. The one thing that makes it fun is games are usually close, despite the outcomes falls on Alabama’s side. The Tide average 21.5 points per game in those last ten meetings while LSU 12.1. I get that Baton Rouge on a Saturday Night with the eyes of the country watching is a scary scenario for most programs. Not for Alabama, let alone this version of Bama. The Tide has always won with a nasty defense. This year they have that same type of defense, and on top of it, a violent offense led by the best quarterback in the nation. They should win by more than two scores. What’s the play? Alabama -14.5
Money line: Alabama -600 vs. LSU +475
Game Total: 53.5
When: Saturday, November 3, 2018
Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Tiger Stadium, Baton Rouge, LA
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