Broncos Vs. Raiders Predictions – Monday Night Football Betting Odds
An AFC West matchup will light up Christmas Eve when the Broncos and the Raiders close the NFL week 16 on Monday Night. Both teams are eliminated from the playoffs contention, but they could use a win to give their fan base something to be happy on Christmas. The Broncos especially need a win for their head coach. The Raiders, instead, could be playing their last game at the Oakland Coliseum. Denver opened as a 2.5-point favorite on the road against Oakland. MyBookie.ag currently has them as a field goal favorite. I can see the betting line climbing up to 3.5, giving the Raiders some value with the points. The game total is at 43 points after it dropped from 45.
Denver Broncos Vs. Oakland Raiders Predictions
Spread: Broncos -3
Money line: Denver -160 vs. Oakland +135
Game total: 43
Date: Monday, December 24, 2018
Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
Venue: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland, CA
What’s the latest Broncos’ betting form to face Raiders?
The Broncos impressive three-game winning streak got to an end with pathetic 20-14 loss visiting the San Francisco 49ers in week 14. They followed it with a 17-16 home loss to the Cleveland Browns. So let’s get it straight. Denver beat two playoffs contender teams like the LA Chargers and the Pittsburgh Steelers; then the Bengals on the road, but lost to the 49ers and the Browns? That’s the career of head coach Vance Joseph in a nutshell. Joseph’s Broncos have been mediocre at best on his two seasons as a head coach.
He’s about to get fired during black Monday. He knows it, and the players know it. What can change in the next two weeks for him to keep his job? I would say nothing. Even if Denver destroys both the Raiders and the Chargers in the next two weeks, I think his faith is pretty much sealed. Spoiler alert; even if the Broncos want to, they don’t have the kind of team to destroy anybody. The only thing keeping the team interested in winning is the individual milestones. RB Phillip Lindsay is nine yards away from his 1000-yards season on a rookie year. If an injury doesn’t show up, he will get it done in the first few carries.
Then rookie outside linebacker Bradley Chubb is 2.5 sacks away from tying the NFL sacks rookie record. He has 12.5 sacks this season and is aiming for the 14.5 record that belongs to Jevon Kearse when he played for the Tennessee Titans. This is the fourth time the Broncos show up as road favorites this season. They covered the spread against Arizona and Cincinnati while failing against the New York Jets and San Francisco. Somehow betting on QB Case Keenum as a road favorite, inside the division, just doesn’t feel right. Keenum has thrown 12 interceptions this season, including two in the last game against the Cleveland Browns on Saturday night.
What’s the latest Raiders’ betting form to face Broncos?
Generally backing the Raiders is an excruciating experience. But I have to give their due to Jon Gruden and especially QB Derek Carr. Their team keeps playing and trying to win despite all the problems and missteps of the season. Last week, they failed to cover the spread against the Bengals in Cincinnati. But the week before they gave the Pittsburgh Steelers an unexpected loss. The Raiders become particularly dangerous when playing at home. Their fan base still cheers even though the team is leaving to Las Vegas. Against the Broncos, in what could be potentially their last Raiders’ game in Oakland, I would expect the crowd to make a huge impact.
The Raiders’ players are also playing for their jobs, all of them; including QB Derek Carr. He hasn’t thrown an interception in the last nine games, and in the previous three, he threw six touchdown passes. He saw how the front office shipped Khalil Mack to Chicago and Amari Cooper to Dallas. He repeatedly said he wants to stay as a Raider and he needs to earn it in the last couple of games. “He is more fluent than I am.
I mean he is playing great football. … I think he’s really excited about where we are heading and his confidence level is very, very high right now”, John Gruden mentioned about this quarterback. Two of the Raiders three wins this season have been at home. And in their last two home games against the Chiefs and the Steelers, they were able to average 27.0 points per game. Both times they ended up covering the spread.
The play for the MNF game between Broncos and Raiders?
By looking at the record, the Broncos are the better team. In fact, they already met in Denver, and the home team won. But they won just by one point. Oakland could be in a tanking mode if they wanted to, but they are not. Most of their players are fighting to stay on the team and to have a roster spot for the upcoming season. Their motivation is clear. I’m not sure about the Broncos’ motivation to win this game. They are already out of the playoffs contention, and the best they can do even if they win their last two games is get to .500. Vance Joseph wants to his team to win to have a Hail Mary shot to keep his job. But does his team want him in Denver next year? Nothing suggests they do.
Add to all of that this is a rivalry game on Primetime. The Raiders are giving 3 points at home. There is enough value for me to consider the home team as the best play. Give me the best quarterback of the two, the home team and the points in a divisional game. These divisional games are weird. The underdog usually comes out swinging because they know the opponents well. I expect just that from the Raiders. What’s the play? Raiders +3.