Canelo Alvarez Vs. Gennady Golovkin II Predictions & Betting Odds Preview

The second round of Canelo vs. GGG boxing fight is almost upon us. The first round ended in a draw, but most observers concluded that Golovkin should have won the fight. That fight was on September, 16th of last year. The two will meet again, almost a year apart from their previous fight, this Saturday, Sept. 15 at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada. The fight will be a PPV event is expected to be one of the biggest boxing gates in history.

It will be broadcasted on HBO and will cost $84.99. The broadcast will begin with the undercard at 8 PM EST, and there will be three undercard fights. Our odds are from Sportsbetting.ag betting site. Don’t miss on 50% up to $1000 sign up bonus you can use for this boxing match.

What Happened In The Fight #1?

As mentioned above, the draw results of the first fight were heavily debated. Most boxing experts thought GGG won the contest. One of the judges, saw the fight entirely differently, scoring it 118-110 in favor of Canelo. However, the other two judges differed vastly. One scored it 115-113 in Golovkin’s favor while the other scored a 114-114 draw. GGG was the more active fighter in the first fight. He landed an average of nine jabs per 30. He also landed and threw more punched every all but two rounds.

canelo vs ggg fight 1It’s unbelievable that judge, Adelaide Byrd, scored the fight in favor of by Canelo, by a score of 118-110. It’s hard to defend anyone that contends that boxing isn’t fraught with corruption. Thankfully, for the sport and GGG’s sake – Byrd is not a judge this time. The only returning judge will be Dave Moretti, who scored the bout 115-113 in favor of Golovkin the first time around. As far as power punching, Canelo did have the edge over GGG.

He connected with 42% of his power punches compared to GGG who landed just 32% of his power shots. The Afghan threw far more jabs than Canelo, 361 compared to 233 and landed close to 30% of them, compared to 23.6% for Canelo. Most believe that GGG landed more punches than Canelo in the first right and provided more volume. It was clear to anyone who watched the first fight that he was the clear aggressor, as well.

Canelo’s Drug Suspension

The biggest news coming into this fight is Canelo’s suspension from boxing due to a series of failed drug tests. The Mexican fighter had to pull out of an initial rematch date after being suspended after failing several drug tests for the substance, Clenbuterol. Clenbuterol burns fat quickly but is known for its ability to enhance stamina and aerobic capacity. Canelo regularly gets tired in the latter stages of many of his fights. By the looks of him, it appears he has lost a lot of muscle mass in anticipation of his fight with GGG.

Alvarez Vs. GGG – Total: Over 11.5 Rounds (-240) / Under 11.5 (+190)

The markets have not moved much since opening on this fight. GGG opened around -155 to -165 and Alvarez around +125 to +140, depending on the sportsbook. The above odds are from SportsBetting.ag Sportsbook, one of our top-rated online betting sites. The current numbers make plenty of sense considering that many thought that GGG won the last fight.

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Boxing Pick: Golovkin -155
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Boxing Pick: Golovkin -155
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The situation surrounding Canelo’s drug suspension also doesn’t do him many favors, as it looks like a desperate attempt to compete with Golovkin. The oddsmakers do expect this one to go the distance, with the 11.5 rounds being heavy juiced at -240 and the under 11.5 rounds at +190. A knockout doesn’t seem likely in this one, based on their previous fight and the current odds. Though, it is worth noting that they both have their fair share of knockouts in their careers.

Alvarez Vs. Golovkin Boxing Match Prediction

GGG comes into this one with around a 60% chance of winning the fight according to the oddsmakers. Some forget that Golovkin is far older than Canelo who is still just 28 years old, compared to GGG who is 36. Still, he’s the firm favorite in this one. Golovkin doesn’t have to do much than replicate the blueprint he had in the first fight. He has a three-inch reach advantage and height advantage over Canelo and an excellent jab. He also has a power advantage over the younger boxer. He may be older and have more miles on his engine, so to speak, but he’s as strong, as he is wise, in the ring.

These two fighters both fight an orthodox boxing style but couldn’t be more different in their personas or in-ring aura. GGG is all business, while Canelo is considerably more flamboyant. Maybe this scored points with judges in the last fight, but that is unlikely to happen two times in a row. What it comes down to is in-ring effectiveness. That’s where GGG dominated Canelo the first time around, and he shouldn’t have any problems doing it again. He is one year older, but he still stronger and more experienced than the younger Canelo. I like GGG and think the current price is more than fair.

Joseph Falchetti

Joe is the author of the blog, most picks, and the majority of excellent content on SafestBettingSites. He's been mentioned on Forbes.com as a gaming analyst and his articles have been linked by larger publications, such as the New York Times.

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