Clemson Vs. Alabama Prediction – Free National Championship Football Expert Picks
We knew this all along. The three months’ worth of football was just a formality. The Alabama Crimson Tide and Clemson Tigers were favorites to meet in the College Football finale, and here we are. For the third time in the last four years, the two best football programs are set to meet in the biggest football stage. It’s is no surprise Alabama is currently a 6-point favorite at MyBookie.ag.
The betting line opened with Bama as a touchdown favorite but it dropped one point, giving the Tide the value to cover with a score. 51% of the betting public is taking Alabama to cover the spread. The money is pretty much even on both sides, just like the sportsbooks wanted to. The game total is at 59.5 points
Clemson Tigers Vs. Alabama Crimson Tide National Championship Pick
Spread: Alabama -6
Money line: Clemson +180 vs Alabama -220
Game Total: 59.5
Date: Monday, January 7, 2019
Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA
What’s the latest Tigers’ betting form to face Alabama?
It’s not every day you find a team that hasn’t lost this season and easily won its semifinal game, jump out as an underdog in the final. But that’s the life of Clemson, and they are used to it when facing Alabama. In the previous two finals, they were dogs and both times covered the spread despite going 1-1 straight up. Blowing out Notre Dame 30-3 in the semis was just a sign that this is team will give Bama more than a headache. They are not at the College Football championship game only to compete. They will enter with more than a fair chance to win.
Clemson covered the spread eight times in 14 games this season, including as a 12-point favorite over Notre Dame. The Tigers haven’t been an underdog this year, and there isn’t much precedent of what they are about to face. The last time they were underdogs against a team not named Alabama was in the 2016 season when they were a 1-point dog against Ohio State and won 31-0. Last season when they met Bama in the College Football semifinal, they were handcuffed by their QB Kelly Bryant. He was nowhere near the talent they needed at that position to compete. They dropped from star Deshaun Watson to Bryant, and that was the difference.
This season under freshman QB Trevor Lawrence, the Tigers might have another star under center. Lawrence showed coolness in the semifinal matchup against Notre Dame and he was a big factor for the win. He completed 27 of 39 passes for 327 yards and three scores. When head coach Dabo Swinney allows you to throw close to four passes in an elimination game, it is because there is a lot of confidence on the quarterback’s abilities. Keep in mind Clemson’s defense will be shorthanded without defensive lineman Dexter Lawrence. He was banned from the postseason due testing positive in NCAA drug test. Lawrence missed the game against Notre Dame, and his absence wasn’t really felt. Against Alabama, the story might be a lot different.
What’s the latest Alabama’s betting form to face Clemson?
Just like Clemson, Alabama is undefeated and covered the spread in eight of their 14 games. They failed to cover as a two-touchdown favorite against Oklahoma despite getting a 28-0 lead over the Sooners early. I think we all knew Oklahoma would make some noise, but the game was never as close as the 45-35 final result showed. What makes this game different and exciting is Alabama is a different animal than a year ago when they beat Clemson; but also different than the previous two meetings in the Championship game. QB Tua Tagovailoa makes them a different team.
We have seen Bama won National Championships based on pure defensive talent. This time they not only have the same NFL-type of defense but alongside a quarterback that can sling in and more importantly, is not afraid to sling it. Tue had a good matchup against Oklahoma, and he took it. He ended up throwing for 318 yards with four touchdown passes and no picks. His total now is at 41 TDs and four interceptions on the season. He’s balling to the point that is both ridiculous and unfair. It’s not a surprise Alabama is the favorite in this game. They have been favored in 54 consecutive games dating 2015. The last time they were dogs was against Georgia.
The play for the championship game between Clemson and Alabama?
This will be the first time during the College Football Playoff National Championship that two undefeated teams meet. Clemson’s last loss was at the hand of Alabama in last season’s semifinals. Bama’s last defeat was against Auburn in last season’s Iron Bowl. Although the games in the past have been close in the series between Clemson and Alabama, the Tigers had a proven quarterback in Deshaun Watson. Trevor Lawrence is good enough to beat any team in the nation, but Bama is a different cat.
To make the upset a little more unlikely, Alabama has a quarterback of their own. Perhaps the most talented quarterback they had in the Nick Saban’s era. That’s a tremendous upside for this team. The absent of DT Ty Lawrence is a big factor on the defensive side for Clemson. He would have been a disruptive force. Now the Tide can double team other players and give QB Tua Tagovailoa plenty of time to throw.
Last season we saw Tua Tagovailoa became only the second true freshman quarterback in the NCAA history to win the Championship. Now we are asking Trevor Lawrence to do the same. That’s a big ask. I’m taking Bama to win this game at least by a touchdown and cover the spread. This is one of the best squads we have seen in the history of College Football. What’s the play? Alabama -6.