College Football Week 6 Picks – Crimson Tide vs. Razorbacks | Longhorns vs. Sooners
What’s the recipe to make some money in College Football? Follow what you know. We know Texas and Oklahoma are set to give the best Red River Rivalry showdown in about ten years. There is plenty to collect in this game. We know Alabama has no match. We know whenever service academies play each other is a rushing bloodbath. And we know Utah and Stanford play games right down to the last possession. College football picks are below and odds can be found at Sportsbetting – Don’t Miss 50% Up To $1000 Bonus.
19 Texas Longhorns vs. 7 Oklahoma Sooners Prediction
Spread: Oklahoma -7
Money line: Texas +240 vs. Oklahoma -285
Game Total: 61
Saturday, October 6, 2018 | 12:00 PM ET
Cotton Bowl, Dallas, TX
Let’s start with the game of the week. It’s been a while since the Red River Rivalry has both teams trending up like this one on Saturday. With that said, the last five games between these two were decided by a touchdown or less. However, Oklahoma has mostly come on top winning six of the previous eight games in the series. The oddsmakers opened with the Sooners as 7.5-point favorites. There hasn’t been that much movement since the line opened and I don’t see it moving before the game starts.
The question is whether Texas can impose their playing style and make this game a low-scoring one. The Longhorns average 27.6 points per game (84th), but it’s not nearly as staggering as the 48.6 points per game (8th) the Sooners average every weekend. I’m not willing to say Texas is back just yet. But their wins over USC, TCU and Kansas State in consecutive weeks sure help the fans get excited to aim for an upset over the Sooners. Their defense is the unit who can bring it home. It was evident against TCU; the Texas defense was ready for anything the Horned Frogs had. The Longhorns are 7-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma. Let’s buy half a point and make sure we get Texas a little over a touchdown.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction
Spread: Alabama -35
Game Total: 61
Saturday, October 6, 2018 | 12:00 PM ET
Razorback Stadium, Fayetteville, AR
‘Bama has failed to cover the spread over the last two games. That’s the Jalen Hurts effect. Whenever Nick Saban feels guilty and decides to give Hurts the ball, the Tide offense notably slows down. The line had Bama as a 35.5-point favorite when it opened, and it has settled into 35. Tide averages 54.2 points per game (1st), and it’s about to face an Arkansas defense that has struggled all season. The problem is not betting Tide’s dominant offense, but knowing they might score too many points early. It would leave it open for a backdoor cover for Arkansas.
Where it looks different from the past two weeks is the Razorbacks offense is weak. They don’t do anything particularly well; either passing of running the football. History says Alabama shouldn’t have any problems taking down Arkansas. They have won the last 10 straight in the series. The Tide is also 4-2 against the spread in their previous six visits to Razorback Stadium. This is perhaps the more significant gap we have seen between an Alabama team and Arkansas in the last decade. It should be a blowout of biblical proportions.
Navy Midshipmen vs. Air Force Falcons Prediction
Spread: Navy -3
Money line: Navy -145 vs. Air Force +125
Game Total: 49
Saturday, October 6, 2018 | 3:30 PM ET
Falcon, Stadium, Usaf Academy, CO
You know the deal, when there are games between the service academies, always bet the UNDER. The oddsmakers made Navy a field goal favorite for this game, but we are not focusing on the spread. It’s all about the game total. Last season these two teams scored 93 points combined, but that’s the outlier. The UNDER cashed in seven of the previous eight games between these two.
Navy is the best rushing team in the nation, averaging 355.8 rushing yards per game. I’m not even sure they will attempt a pass nor they should. Last week they recorded only 25 passing yards against 349 rushing in the 31-30 loss to SMU. If not for the three fumbles they had, they would have won that game easily. The Air Force is slightly more balanced. They average 254.6 rushing yards per game (12th) and make an effort to at least pass the ball here and there. Both Navy and Air Force will seek to control the time of possession, eating as much clock as they can. That leads to long drives, fewer possessions and thus a low scoring game. What’s the play? Bet the UNDER 49 points.
Utah Utes vs. 14 Stanford Cardinal Prediction
Spread: Stanford -4
Money line: Utah +160 vs Stanford -180
Game Total: 46
Saturday, October 6, 2018 | 10:30 PM ET
Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA
Neither Utah nor Stanford comes into this game in the best shape. The Utes have dropped two in a row against Washington and Washington State while Stanford got abused by Notre Dame last week.
The oddsmakers made the Cardinal a 5-point favorite when the betting line opened at Sportsbetting.ag. Now it dropped a whole point, and it has Stanford as a 4-point favorite. The Utes have been a solid bet against Stanford. They are 3-1 SU and 3-0-1 ATS in its last four games vs. the Cardinal. The previous two games in the series were decided by a field goal.
What I like about these two teams is they have rock-hard defenses that will probably dominate both of the opposing offenses. Utah allows only 16.3 (4th) points per game even while facing straight up attacking machines like the Huskies and the Cougars. Stanford gives up 18.4 points per game (22nd), and the total has gone UNDER in 4 of the Cardinal’s last 5 games at home. This game should be another one right down to the wire with the defenses dominating the play. What’s the play? UNDER 46 points.