Free NFL Week 13 Expert Picks: Vikings vs Falcons Prediction
Minnesota Vikings +3 at Atlanta Falcons -3 Total: 47
Despite losing Sam Bradford in Week 1 and just have a mediocre offensive line, the Vikings have the second-best record in the league behind the Eagles. They will travel to Atlanta this week in a game that is key for the Falcons regarding their postseason aspirations. All odds from this article are from SportsBetting.ag.
The Vikings – Case Ace
Case Keenum has been fantastic for the Vikings after Bradford went down and has even held off Teddy Bridgewater, who is organization’s supposed quarterback of the future. However, Keenum is still the starter on a week-to-week basis.
Still, at Atlanta is another spot where Keenum should flourish. Minnesota has won seven straight games, including last week’s 30-23 shootout against the Lions on Thanksgiving. They’re 9-2 on the season and are the firm leaders in the NFC North. Their injury report is also one of the smallest in the league, with most everyone healthy.
The Falcons – End of the Super Bowl Hangover?
Atlanta started off the season poorly, but have rebounded in recent weeks and look much closer to their elite form of last season. They took care of the Buccaneers last week, mainly on the back of Julio Jones, who had over 200 yards and two touchdowns. Still, at 7-4, they have two teams ahead of them in the division and can’t afford to drop any more games in their fight in the NFC South or Wild Card position.
Injury wise, the Falcons may be without top cornerback, Desmond Trufant, due to a concussion. He is not expected to play, which upgrades the matchups of Stefon Diggs and Adam Thielen. Running back Devonta Freeman has cleared the concussion protocol and will resume his starting role this week.
Betting Action – Odds On Falcons
Atlanta opened at -3, but the spread has been bouncing around from -2.5 and -3 throughout the week. Some books have it at -3 while others -2.5 as of this writing. Bettors have favored the Vikings regarding tickets, as they have accounted for 60 percent of all bets so far. The total has come down slightly from the 47.5 opener to 47 at most sportsbooks.
This is a letdown spot for the Falcons if I have ever seen one. Tampa Bay is about the softest matchup you can get when it comes to defenses. It made plenty of sense for them to win big last week. Even weak offenses have smashed against Tampa Bay. Minnesota is a different story.
Minnesota Vikings vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction
Their defense is excellent, and the Vikings offense continues to be underrated. Couple that with the fact that they are almost certainly going to be without their top cornerback, in Desmond Trufant. Minnesota has extra rest, as well, and this is not a terrible matchup for them on either side of the ball.
Let’s also not forget how bad the Falcons have been this season offensively, at times. They’ve failed in some cupcake matchups, and Ryan looks like he has for most of his career, not his 2016 breakout season. Lay the points with the much better road team.