Free NHL Bets and Picks: Oilers Try to Continue Recent Success
Saturday offers another packed schedule, with twelve games planned. This will be the third straight Saturday to offer ten-plus games. Here are my free NHL picks for October 21. All odds in this article are from BetOnline.
Edmonton Oilers (-101) at Philadelphia Flyers (-109)
The Edmonton Oilers were marked as early season contenders. The Oilers have slipped so far, sitting at an 2-4 record. The Flyers have had some success, going 4-3 on the season. The Flyers are on their fourth home game of five straight. The Oilers are on the second road game of three straight.
The Oilers are sitting at a disappointing 2-4 record, but when looking closer, the Oilers may not be as bad as their record shows. The Oilers have registered 93 shots in their last two games. The Oilers have outshot their opponents in five of six matchups. Overall, the Oilers have outshot other teams 248-179.
The shot differential hints that the offense is working, but the puck luck is just not there. I believe that we will continue to see the Oilers offense get stronger, which will get the team going again.
Even in the offensive struggle, which has led to only thirteen goals in six games, Connor McDavid has been able to be a point per game player. He has eight points – three goals and five assists – in six games.
The Flyers have not been able to string together more than two wins yet this season. Philadelphia enters the matchup after losing to Nashville 1-0. This loss comes after back-to-back wins by a total of 13-3.
The Oilers come in after breaking a four-game losing streak. Edmonton beat the Blackhawks in overtime 2-1. The offense had difficulties, but the defense shut down Chicago’s lethal offense. Cam Talbot seemed to find his stride in that game, stopping 29-30 shots.
I believe the Oilers are a better team them their record shows. As an underdog against an unpredictable Flyers team, I believe the Oilers are the better pick.
Nashville Predators (+104) at New York Rangers (-115)
The Predators have started the season where they left off in last season’s Stanley Cup Final. The Rangers, who lost in the second round of the playoffs last season, have been off to a terrible start. They sit at 1-5-2 on the season.
A key to the Predators early season success, a 4-2-1 record, has been Pekka Rinne’s play. Rinne has posted a .932 save percentage and a 2.01 GAA in route to a 4-1-1 record. The Rangers veteran goaltender, Henrik Lundqvist, has not been playing up to expectations. Lundqvist has posted a .905 save percentage, as well as a GAA of 3.15.
The Predators offense has outscored opponents 19-17. This shows that the Predators have mostly been locked in tight battles. The big difference for the Predators has been their special teams.
Nashville has posted a 25.81 percent success rate on the power play. The penalty kill has been just as good. Nashville has stopped 28-33 power play opportunities against, for an 84.85 percent penalty kill.
On the other side the Rangers have had some difficulty on the penalty kill. New York has allowed eight goals on thirty chances. The Rangers have allowed stopped 73.33 percent of the penalties against. This number does not stand very strong against the league average of 81.04 percent.
The Rangers offense has not been awful this season. Even with only one win, the Rangers have outshot teams 274-254. The Rangers have only scored twenty goals in eight games, which is likely to change given their ability to get the puck on net.
New York enters this game after back-to-back overtime losses at home. The Rangers lost to the Penguins, then to city rival, New York Islanders. The Rangers will be trying to get back on track, but could find difficulty against a strong Predators lineup.
Based on this information, I believe that the Predators should be favored in this game. The Rangers have yet to put up a solid sixty-minute game together this season. I price the Predators at -120 in this game. The Predators have a lot of value as an underdog.