Giants vs. Patriots – Thursday Night Football | NFL Picks And Odds
As much as the media wants to remind us of the history between the Giants and Patriots, it hardly matters for our NFL Week 6 betting purposes.
When the Patriots host the G-Men on Thursday Night, New England will be favored by more than two touchdowns for the fourth time in six weeks.
Let’s go into detail:
Giants vs. Patriots Odds – NFL Season Week 6
|NY Giants (2-3)||Vs||New England Patriots (5-0)|
|+17 (-110)||Spread||-17 (-110)|
|Over 42 (-110)||Game total||Under 42 (-110)|
|Bet On New York Giants Vs. New England Packers At Mybookie.Ag|
The Patriots opened -17.5 on most markets but can be found -17 at MyBookie.ag. Some sportsbooks have moved the odds to New England -16.5.
What The NFL Odds Say About The Giants vs. Patriots Week 5 Matchup
Despite the large spread, 67% of the betting public is taking the Patriots to cover at home.
The game total opened at a high 44.5, but now is a very manageable 42.
The Giants’ Edge vs. The Patriots
It’s hard to find an edge for a team that is so far behind talent-wise compared to its upcoming opponent. But the point is to find the edge about the Giants +17 play, not the team itself.
Now, we can all agree that’s a massive spread. It usually happens when a good team plays a garbage one. New York is not amongst the best teams in the NFL, but they don’t feel like a hot mess, at least not since they benched Eli Manning.
If the Giants want to stay within striking distance of the Patriots, their key is to pressure Tom Brady right up the middle. Rookie stud Dexter Lawrence becomes a crucial player in this goal.
We have seen it in the past. The way to pressure Brady and making him uncomfortable is right up the middle.
Yes, having edge rusher help, but TB12 usually steps forward inside the pocket to avoid the rush. When he gets pressure inside, he doesn’t have where to go.
Last week the Redskins sacked Tom Brady four times and intercepted once. The Patriots offensive line is the weakest link on this team, having lost several linemen in the offseason.
The Patriots’ Edge vs. The Giants
They have faced a weak schedule so far, but to their credit, they have taken care of it without any issues.
New England’s defense is the top unit in the NFL, allowing only 6.8 points per game this season. But they also lead the league in sacks (24), takeaways (12) and yards allowed (160.4 yds/g).
Bill Belichick – now a defensive play-caller as well – and the rest of defense must be salivating. They will get a rookie quarterback in Daniel Jones during a short week, with limited offensive personnel.
The Giants won’t have WR Sterling Shepard after he suffered a concussion against the Vikings on Sunday.
RB Saquon Barkley is getting better regarding his high ankle sprain, but he’s unlikely to take the field this week.
And to make it worse, TE Evan Engram is dealing with a sprained MCL and is listed as doubtful to play the Patriots.
NY Giants vs. New England Patriots Week 6 Prediction
When a large spread hit the books, I usually love to fade the public, but the matchup looks terrible for the Giants, no matter how you slice it.
New England is by far the better team. They are playing at home on a short week against a banged-up offense led by a rookie.
Belichick will give Daniel Jones one of those welcome to the NFL games.
We know on offense Tom Brady and the rest of the cast is going to put up points.
How on earth are the Giants going to stay in this game? The Pats defense is giving up less than a touchdown per game this season.
We have seen two close Thursday Night matchups in a row, but I’m afraid this won’t be one of them.
Giants Vs. Patriots Game Information
- Date: Thursday, October 10, 2019
- Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Venue: Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
- TV: FOX / NFL Network
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