Iowa State Vs. Texas – College Football Week 12 Picks
Iowa State Vs. Texas Predictions
It was a sweet feeling for the Longhorns to get back to the victory train by beating Texas Tech last week. Two straight losses to Oklahoma State and West Virginia shook Texas’ confidence. To close out the regular season with wins against Iowa State and Kansas State would give the Longhorns a good bowl appearance. MyBookie.ag opened his games with Texas as a 3.5-point favorite. The line dropped half a point since it opened. 60% of the betting public is taking Iowa State with the points. There isn’t much faith in what the Longhorns have done lately.
Last week the Longhorns defense came through at the right moments in the 41-34 win over the Red Raiders. Texas Tech posted 595 total yards, which 454 came by the passing game. But two fumbles and one interception ruined their chances to upset Texas. The Longhorns, on the contrary, played a solid game posting 469 total yards, but especially not turning the ball over once. Iowa State is a dangerous team coming into Memorial Stadium. They have won five games in a row, including victories over West Virginia and Texas Tech during that span. Last week they beat Baylor 28-14 but failed to cover the spread as a 17-point favorite.
The Cyclones have covered the spread in three of their four away games this season. But Texas is used to playing close games this year. They had one possession wins over Tulsa, Kansas State, Oklahoma, and Baylor. They were also on the wrong side against Maryland, Oklahoma State, and West Virginia. It seems like every Longhorns’ game gets decided in the last drive. Texas has won eight of the last ten games in the series against Iowa State.
Last season, the Longhorns won by a ten point differential on the road. In the previous seven visits to Austin, the Cyclones have won just once. It’s a difficult place to win, even if Texas is not having the best season. Iowa State is clearly on a solid winning streak, but home field advantage plays a big factor in such a close game. I have Texas winning this one on a thriller. What’s the play? Texas -3.
Spread: Texas -3
Money line: Iowa State +125 vs. Texas -145
Game Total: 47
When: Saturday, November 17, 2018
Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
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