Kansas City Chiefs Vs. New England Patriots – Sunday Night Football Betting Odds & Predictions

The New England Patriots will love to avoid going to Arrowhead Stadium to play for a spot in the Super Bowl. That’s why they are in a must-win situation when they host the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday Night Football, in the biggest game of the NFL week 6. Gillette Stadium, in Foxboro, Massachusetts will be where the AFC top position might be decided as early as October. The Patriots are 3.5-point favorites at Sportsbetting.ag playing at home; meaning the oddsmakers still think they are slightly better than the Chiefs.

If this game would be played on a neutral site, it will be a pick’em or the Pats favorites by 1. The betting moved a little bit on Sunday night when it opened and had the Patriots as 3-point favorites. It didn’t last long, and it moved back to 3.5. The game total opened at 58 points and is currently at 59. Our odds below are from SportsBetting.ag Sportsbook. Deposit today for a 50% Welcome Bonus up to $1000.

Kansas City Chiefs Vs. New England Patriots Predictions

Spread: Patriots -3.5
Money line: Kansas City (+155) vs. New England (-175)
Game Total: 59
Date: Sunday, October 13th, 2018
Game Time: 8:20 PM ET
Gillette Stadium, Foxboro, MA
TV: NBC

What’s the latest Chiefs betting form to face the Patriots?

Kansas City has been the best team in the AFC during the first month of competition, and it’s not even close. Last week they had a statement win over the Jaguars (30-14) while covering as a 3-point home favorite. The curious thing about their win against Jacksonville, it was the defense that did the job. The Chiefs defensive united forced five turnovers and helped Kansas City reach its 5th win of the season. Of course, it helped Blake Bortles was the QB they faced, but still is an excellent performance. They intercepted Bortles four times including a pick-6.

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The Patriots are not worried about the Chiefs defense. They are thinking how they are going to stop the second-year wonder Patrick Mahomes. New England could either go toe to toe with him or try to have a good defensive scheme that messes up with Mahomes’ rhythm. Mahomes has thrown for 1513 yards, 14 touchdowns, and just two interceptions. However, both of his picks came last week against the Jags. It was the first time on his young career where he didn’t throw a TD pass and turned the ball over.

The scary part is even with Mahomes struggling to some point, the Chiefs scored 30 points on one of the best defenses in the NFL. They are now averaging 35.0 points per game (2nd best) this season, and they will face a Patriots defense that’s not nearly as talented as Jacksonville’s. To make it worst, Kansas City has no fear of Gillette Stadium. Last season they thrashed the Patriots 42-27 in the season opener. And that was with Alex Smith under center. ‘Check down Alex’ is not as gifted as Mahomes.

What’s the latest Patriots betting form to face the Chiefs?

Things look to be back in place with the Patriots winning the last two games in a row. Their 38-24 win over the Indianapolis Colts helped them cover the spread as 10-point favorites last week. New England had 10 days to prepare for the Chiefs after playing the Colts on Thursday Night Football. They might need more time to be ready to face the second-best scoring offense in the NFL, and head coach Bill Belichick knows it. “They’ve killed teams in the first quarter,” Belichick said.

The Patriots defense has allowed 15.1 points per game in the last two contests against Miami and Indianapolis. Yet, neither the Dolphins nor the Colts are even remotely close to the Chiefs offensive power. Kansas City has outscored teams 59-9 during the first quarter this season. I’m thinking the Patriots will attempt to do the Chiefs what most teams try against them. It’s about running the football, converting on third downs and putting together long drives to keep Kansas City’s offense in the sidelines. The Pats are averaging 113.0 rushing yards per game (13th) and rookie Sony Michel is getting more and more workload. He ran for 112 rushing yards against Miami and 98 yards against Indianapolis. Both times he found the end zone.

And then, there is the Tom Brady factor. The 41-year old QB has thrown for six touchdown passes in his last two games. He was intercepted twice against the Dolphins and the Colts, but you can see him getting better and better. The return of WR Julian Edelman and the addition of WR Josh Gordon sure help.
New England knows they were embarrassed at home last season, but they still hold the upper hand in the series. The Patriots have won six of the previous seven games they have played at home against the Chiefs.

The play for the SNF game between Chiefs and Patriots?

We are all expecting a high scoring game as both offenses are better than the opposing defenses. The problem I have with betting the Patriots to win by four or more points and cover the spread is precisely their defense. No one has been able to stop the Chiefs offense this season; not even the Jaguars who did stop Tom Brady and the Patriots in week 2.

There is this false belief that Bill Belichick is a defensive genius. That was a while ago. New England hasn’t had a decent defense in years. Andy Reid has won two out of three matchups against Belichick and the Patriots during his first five seasons in Kansas City. Reid has the overall better team and this time we don’t need him to win outright. Just give me the unstoppable offense with the points to cover on the road. Bet Chiefs +3.5.

Alonzo Solano

Alonzo is a Sports Analyst who has covered College Football and NFL odds for SafestBettingSites but don’t be surprised if you read him on any other sport. He’s a gaming analyst looking for winners every weekend.

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