2019 Kentucky Derby Betting Preview & Odds | Contenders Pros & Cons

Kentucky Derby Betting Preview And PicksHorse race betting is hot once again during the year. Saturday’s 2019 Kentucky Derby winner will become instantly part of the history of horse racing. Trainers on the legendary status such as Bob Baffert and Todd Pletcher will bring to Churchill Downs their most talented race to win the annual Race for Rose. In the most recent Kentucky Derby odds in 2019, Baffert, which already trained five winners in Kentucky Derby, including last year’s Triple Crown winner Justify, will have three favorites.

There’s a lot of speculation and hype surrounding the 2019 Kentucky Derby contenders. This year’s field has several hopefuls who could be the next Kentucky Derby hero. Let’s take a pro/con look at the top contenders, plus a couple of possible surprises to hit the board at longshot odds.

Best Picks And Bets For the 2019 Kentucky Derby

With great expertise comes great results. That’s why the following picks are made by Laurie Ross, a Pedigree Analyst, Handicapper and published author who has successfully picked the winner, plus exactas, superfectas in 11 consecutive Kentucky Derbies. If you are looking for the best picks in the industry, look no further, these are it.

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Bet On Tacitus

Tacitus Horse And Racer

  • Pros: Well-bred colt won both Derby preps and leads the KY Derby Qualifying Points list. He overcame a troubled trip in the Wood Memorial to prevail by 1 1/4-lengths, and his speed figures are improving.
  • Cons: Put him in the “he’s talented, but what did he beat?” category. Wood Memorial winners and runners up usually fill out the lower exotics or finish off the board in the Kentucky Derby, despite misplaced hype surrounding them. The last horse to pull off the Wood Memorial/Kentucky Derby double? Fusaichi Pegasus in 2000.
  • The Play: Use him in win and underneath bets.

Bet On Omaha Beach

Omaha Beach Horse And Racer

  • Pros: Omaha Beach beat last year’s 2YO champ Game Winner in the Rebel, and turned back Improbable in the Arkansas Derby. Both highly regarded colts from the Bob Baffert barn were previously undefeated. “Money” Mike Smith chose to ride this colt over Roadster, always a plus.
  • Cons: Omaha Beach deserves his role as the early favorite, but only tenuously. War Front’s stakes winning offspring on dirt tend to hit a wall beyond 1 1/8-miles. Additionally, Omaha Beach is dealing with a quarter crack. Although it has been patched and he wears a special shoe, who knows how it will affect him come race day?
  • The Play: Use him in win and underneath bets.

Bet On Vekoma

Tacitus Horse And Racer

  • Pros: Speed figures improved in the Blue Grass Stakes. Javier Castellano is a tactical rider and will get this colt in a good position if possible.
  • Cons: His pedigree is light for 1 1/4-miles, and his late pace speed figures show it. Plus that awkward gait takes precious energy.
  • The Play: Use in lower exotics if he draws Post 10 or below.

Bet On Roadster

Roadster Horse And Racer

  • Pros: The son of Quality Road has raced just twice this year, and his only stakes victory was in the Santa Anita Derby, where he handed stablemate Game Winner his second defeat in as many starts.
  • Cons: Roadster’s drawbacks are that his pedigree is light for 1/14-miles and his lack of experience in large fields. He also loses the services of his regular jock Mike Smith.
  • The Play: He’ll need an inside post to save ground on at least one of the turns. Use him in win and underneath bets. If he draws post 11+ use him underneath.

Bet On Game Winner

Game Winner Horse And Racer

  • Pros: Last year’s 2YO Champ made a strong charge in the Rebel Stakes (2nd Division), to miss by a short nose to Omaha Beach in the Rebel Stakes, in his first start off a long layoff. Versatile colt isn’t dependent on one running style and has a strong classic distance pedigree.
  • Cons: 2YO form rarely holds up in the Kentucky Derby. Game Winner was struggling in the stretch of the Santa Anita Derby after being wide throughout. He was all out to put away a clearly tired Instagrand, then was reluctant to close on Roadster. Questions surround his form this year. Will he be able to rebound in Kentucky? That’s on everybody’s mind.
  • The Play: Post position shouldn’t be a factor. Use him in win and underneath bets.

Bet On Improbable

Improbable Horse And Racer

  • Pros: Although he lost both preps this year, he had excuses both times; a tough, wide trip in the Rebel Stakes (1st Div) where he was caught at the wire, and in the Arkansas Derby, he clearly resented the blinkers, but still finished second. Improbable’s speed ratings improved in his second start. He’s a winner over the Churchill surface, and Baffert has discarded the blinkers.
  • Cons: Improbable’s drawback is pedigree, which is borderline for classic distances.
  • The Play: He’ll need an inside post to save ground on at least one of the turns. Use him in win and underneath bets. If he draws post 11+ use him underneath.

Bet On Win Win Win

Win Win Win Horse And Racer

  • Pros: He’s made up ground or extended his lead in all 6 career starts. His original jock, Julian Pimentel was aboard for Win Win Win’s victories and knows how to time his ride. Lately, the colt has a deep closer style, but two of his victories were earned when he pressed a quick pace, so we know he has tactical speed.
  • Cons: Deep closers get the “most likely to have trouble” award. They have a 28% success rate since 1980. More often, they close swiftly for a minor placing.
  • The Play: Exotics

Odds To Win The 2019 Kentucky Derby

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About The Author – Laurie Ross

Laurie Ross Pedigree Handicapper Breeding ConsultantLaurie Ross has successfully picked the winner, plus exactas – superfectas in 11 consecutive Kentucky Derbies. She is a Pedigree Analyst, Handicapper, a published author and also a member of the National Turf Writers and Broadcasters Association. She has committed her passion for horses to the intensive study of pedigree and breeding theory for the last twenty years and has been mentored by some of the most respected pedigree gurus in the business.With her experience she has created a full fledged and detailed 35-page Kentucky Derby Betting Guide which gives you easy to read detailed information about each contender. SBS readers get 10% off! Use the coupon code NEWTC2019.

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