2020 LCS Spring Playoffs Semi-Finals Preview & Betting Odds
The League of Legends Championship Series’ 2020 LCS Spring Split Playoffs moves into their final stages this weekend with the Loser’s Finals and the Grand Finals scheduled for April 18th and 19th, respectively.
Top-seed Cloud9 awaits the winner of the Loser’s Finals which features second-seeded Evil Geniuses and fourth-seeded FlyQuest. The teams finished the Group stage with identical 10-8 records but EG earned the second seed via a three-team tiebreaker tournament on March 30.
Saturday’s match marks the second time EG and FQ will meet in this playoff.
- EG secured a 3-1 win in the Semifinals of the Upper Bracket on April 4 but were defeated, 3-1, by Cloud9 in the Winner’s Finals.
- FlyQuest was sent to the Lower Bracket where they secured 3-0 and 3-2 wins over Golden Guardians and Team SoloMid in the Loser’s first and second rounds, respectively.
The victor on Saturday gets a shot at C9 on Sunday in the Grand Finals with $100,000 and a bid to the Mid-Season Invitational on the line.
Familiar Foes: NA LCS Team Analysis
Evil Geniuses and FlyQuest will meet for the fourth time this season on Saturday but, this time, the stakes are much higher. In the Group Stage, EG toppled FQ in both meetings, the most recent of which came on March 7.
The teams would meet for the third time this split in the Upper Semifinals on April 4 when EG surged to a 3-1 win to advance to the Winner’s Finals. In that match, we saw FQ’s top laner V1per for the last time this postseason. The Canadian has since been replaced by substitute Solo.
By the Numbers
Outside of Cloud9, the NA field was tightly packed during the Group Stage. EG, FQ, and 100 Thieves all finished with 10-8 records and were followed closely by TSM (9-9), Golden Guardians (8-10), Dignitas (8-10), and Immortals (8-10). As a result, it’s been difficult to forecast the results of this tournament, but diving into the numbers gives further insight.
Of note are the team’s differences in early-game rating and mid/late-game ratings. During the Group Stage, FQ’s early-game rating (42.5) ranked eighth while EG’s 57.9 was second to only C9’s. But what FQ lacked early on leveled out mid-to-late game where they boasted a league-best 13.7 rating. EG, on the other hand, sat in seventh with a -1.7 mid/late-game rating.
Looking At The In-Game Performance Stats
Whether you put more stock in a team’s ability to have a better start or better finish is another discussion entirely, but typically, in postseason settings, teams that grow into a match have more success. That is, unless, they’re buried early on.
Furthermore, EG had a better gold differential at 15 minutes (-268) than FlyQuest (-560); certainly a byproduct of their early-game ratings. But, the truth is, neither of those GD15 figures is impressive at all.
Something else to consider: EG holds a 68% to 37% dragon control rate and a 58% to 32% baron control rate as well. FlyQuest boasts a slim 50.2% to 49.8% lane control rate but again falls behind in jungle control (52.2% to 48.3%).
Evil Geniuses Vs. FlyQuest Semi-Finals Betting Odds
|LCS Team||Odds To Win|
Evil Geniuses (-416) Vs. FlyQuest (+250)
Despite having identical records, MyBookie.ag has Evil Geniuses (-416) as favorites to defeat FlyQuest (+250) on Saturday and advance to the LCS 2020 Spring Split Grand Finals on Sunday. It makes sense, considering EG has gotten the better of FQ three times already this split. In addition to that fact, statistics would suggest EG is the superior team.
Evil Geniuses had a decent showing against Cloud9 in the Winner’s Finals on April 11th, taking one game off the indisputable best team in North America. How they adjust to a FlyQuest team that has won consecutive games after tinkering with their lineup is to be seen.
In their Winner’s Semifinals meeting on April 4, V1per was overwhelmed in the top lane, prompting Solo’s substitution for the subsequent two matches. In those matches, Solo did well handling ganks, giving his teammates a better chance to advance in their lanes.
Our 2020 LCS Spring Playoffs Semi-Finals Prediction
The match will inevitably be decided in the jungle, where PowerOfEvil has starred for FQ in their previous two victories having been named MVP in both contests. If EG’s jungler, Jiizuke, finds early success in hopes of burying PowerOfEvil early, it could be lights out for FQ. On the other hand, if PowerOfEvil is allowed to dictate the pace of play FQ could pull off an upset.
Overall it’s too much of an ask for FlyQuest: resting its laurels on a top-lane sub and the ability of its jungler to get out of ahead of it early. Evil Geniuses win, 3-1.