Michigan State Vs. Duke Predictions | March Madness Expert Picks | Elite 8
2 Michigan State Spartans Vs. 1 Duke Blue Devils Betting Preview
We have ourselves a high-quality matchup during the March Madness Elite Eight round. Two of the best masterminds in college basketball will go head-to-head when coach K takes, and his Duke Blue Devils take on Tom Izzo and the Michigan State Spartans. This is the best game of the weekend, for sure. Both coach Mike Krzyzewski and Tom Izzo are considered two of the best minds in college basketball. I’m expecting a high-quality game with two teams that are confident enough to go all the way and with the tournament.
Duke, perhaps, besides being the most hyped team of the season, and the most hated one as well, it’s by far the luckiest of the 2019 March Madness. The Blue Devils have found themselves watching opponents miss open shots in the last second of the previous two games. On Friday night the Devils saw Virginia Tech miss an open layup that would have taken their meeting to overtime. And we know what happened in the round before against UCF. Sometimes lucky is good enough, and Duke has been by far the most fortunate team in the tournament.
The problem with that statement is luck can only take you so far. From the favorites, Duke has suffered the most of any team in March Madness. Of course, they remain as the top bet because of Zion Williamson. Just days ago you could have bet on Duke to win it all at +320 at MyBookie.ag. With eight teams remaining now the Devils are +260. Michigan State is a solid team with a good run of wins entering this meeting. The Spartans have won eight games in a row. That includes a Big Ten tournament championship and three March Madness elimination games.
During the Madness, they have won their three outings by an average of 16.0 points. It’s perhaps the team that has suffered less reaching the Elite Eight round. If you take the Spartans right now to win the tournament MyBookie.ag have them at +800. From the remaining eight teams, Izzo’s boys have an 11% probability of winning the title. While the percentage is not great, there is plenty of value on a side that’s clearly comfortable with their playing style.
The betting line for this game opened with Duke as a 1.5-point favorite, but over the last few hours moved up to two. I can’t see any sudden movements from now and until the start of the game. 53% of the betting public is taking the Spartans with the points. And how could you not to? Duke has looked very vulnerable and beatable over the entire tournament. Michigan State has been one of the most solid teams over the last month. This should be the place where the Zion’s madness ends. What’s the play? Michigan State +2
Spread: Duke -2
Money line: Michigan State +125 vs. Duke -145
Game total: 148.5
Date: Sunday, March 31, 2019
Game time: 4:05 PM ET
Venue: Capital One Arena, Washington, DC
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