MLB Betting 7-19-17 – Free Picks
We’re back after a day off on a Wednesday slate that starts at 12:10 EST. We managed to hit on Tuesday evening with the u 8.5 runs on the Cleveland and San Francisco game. Let’s get another win today.
Los Angeles Dodgers – K. Maeda -162 at Chicago White Sox – C. Rodon (L) +152 Total: 9.5 Runs
The White Sox are in full firesale mode as they have the worst record in the American League. Yesterday, they dealt third baseman, Todd Frazier, along with closer, David Robertson, and several other players to the Yankees. They also brought up highly touted prospect, Yoan Moncada.
The Dodgers are on the other side of the spectrum. Los Angeles has the best record in the NL and has a massive 10.5 game lead over the second-place, Diamondbacks. They have won ten straight games.
Maeda has won three of his last four decisions and has pitched well. However, he continues to have trouble making it late into games. He’s only gone past five innings in just three of his 14 starts. He has a 4.38 ERA on the year.
Rodon is a southpaw that has flashed plenty of talent in his short career. Injuries have also been an issue. He was pitching well into the All-Star break, but had a rough outing against Colorado last time out, giving up six runs and 5 1/3 innings. Like Maeda, he has a mediocre 4.32 ERA.
The Dodgers opened as a -168 favorite. Action has been massive on the road favorites so far, but the line hasn’t shifted much or has gone the other way. As of this writing, the odds are Dodgers -162 and White Sox +152. The total has not moved off the opener of 9.5 runs.
I love the White Sox in this spot, despite them facing the best team in baseball. Sometimes a team will play with extra motivation after a blockbuster trade, but even if you discount that factor – this is a good matchup.
Rodon has shown flashes of dominance and does match up well against some the L.A.’s bigger bats, as he will get lefty on lefty with two heart-of-the-order bats in Bellinger and Seager. Maeda’s shaky outings are another reason to like Chicago. His stuff is strong but not overpowering. This ballpark is built for offense, and I don’t think he will be efficient tonight, which means this one could get ugly.