Monday Night Football Betting Odds – Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions
What a beauty the NFL will have for us on Monday Night Football. An AFC West rivalry jumps on stage as the Denver Broncos (2-1 SU, 0-2-1 ATS) host the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS) in the last game of NFL Week 4. The Chiefs offense has stolen all the headlines in the first month of the season; the Broncos offense, not so much. But history says there is value in Denver playing as a home dog during a nationally televised game.
The oddsmakers at Sportsbetting.ag made the Chiefs as 4.5-point favorites for this Monday Night Football matchup. The line moved down one point and was at 3.5-points for a couple of days and now it’s back to 4.5-points again. The game total opened at 55 points and is currently at 54. Our odds below are from SportsBetting.ag Sportsbook. Deposit today for a 50% Welcome Bonus up to $1,000.
Kansas City Chiefs Vs. Denver Broncos Predictions
Spread: Chiefs -4.5
Money line: Kansas City (-210) vs. Denver (+180)
Game Total: 54
Date: Monday, October 1, 2018
Game Time: 8:15 PM ET
Broncos Stadium at Mile High, Denver, CO
What’s the latest Chiefs betting form to face the Broncos?
Outstanding. Unreal. Marvelous. There are so many compliments to what the Chiefs offense has looked in the first three games of the season. Kansas City not only leads the league in scoring, but they have done it at a staggering pace of 39.5 points per game. The offense has carried over with a lousy defense that allows 30.7 points per game. It is the third worst number in the NFL. But it doesn’t matter because the Chiefs will outscore anybody. The Los Angeles Chargers and the Pittsburgh Steelers are both playoffs contenders. They allowed 38 and 42 points respectively, at home, against the Chiefs.
There is no stopping this group. It’s too talented, and we should stay on their side cashing in. I know you probably know this, but QB Patrick Mahomes has thrown for the most passing touchdown in the first three weeks in NFL history (13). And it doesn’t look like he’s going to slow down anytime soon.
Mahomes is about to face a Broncos defense which is no longer the best in the business. The days of the “No-Fly Zone” at Mile High are over as their defense rank 16th in points allowed per drive. The challenging part of stopping this Kansas City offense is Pat moves the ball around, not setting his eyes on one target. The 2018 Chiefs are the second team in NFL history to have nine players with a touchdown catch in their first three games of the season.
Look for TE Travis Kelce to have a special night. Kelce is averaging 146.5 receiving yards per game in the last two contests against Denver. Those numbers were with Alex Smith under center, and I can only imagine what he will do with Mahomes in charge. Betting wise the Chiefs are the hottest team in football. Not only are they 3-0 against the spread this season but 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games and 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games on the road. Their point differential this season is a solid 8.66, and their games are averaging 70.0 points per contest, obliterating the OVER every weekend.
What’s the latest Broncos betting form to face the Chiefs?
The Broncos are not as hot as the Chiefs. In fact, they are not hot at all. Their two wins this season have come with late drives and they are yet to deliver their first win against the spread in 2018. Their issues are the same as the in the past. QB Case Keenum has proven he’s not the answer to the Broncos’ prayers. He has thrown for 743 yards, 3 TDs & 3 INTs in three weeks. That’s the life Denver chose when they signed him. He might find the end zone here and there, but there will be mistakes and sloppy QB play all over the place.
The only way the Broncos can slow down the Chiefs is by having QB Pat Mahomes on the sidelines. It’s the old Tom Brady-Peyton Manning treatment. They can’t hurt you if they are not on the field. Denver needs to run the football early and often, mostly under tailbacks Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman. Between the two have combined to help the team average 144.7 rushing yards per game; the third-best number in the NFL.
Denver hasn’t been great when facing Kansas City lately. The Broncos are 0-5 against the spread against the Chiefs and 1-4 ATS when those games are at Mile High. They have been outplayed in the last three seasons, and this year the gap between one team and the other looks larger than ever. But it’s not only about their nightmare matchup against Kansas City. Denver is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games overall and 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
The play for the MNF game between Broncos and Chiefs?
Other than finding a boost in the crowd because it is Monday Night Football, it’s hard to see a way where the Broncos win this game or even cover the spread. I’m taking the OVER because the Chiefs offense will find a way to score 30+ points. The Broncos will have no other choice but to try to match them possession by possession.
I’m also leaning toward Chiefs -4.5. I usually don’t like betting on favorite teams on the road, and I love taking the points. But Kansas City’s form is absurd. Their offense might be something we haven’t seen before in the NFL. The new rules help, but new offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy has done a masterful job putting his entire passing arsenal on display. The Broncos defense couldn’t stop Joe Flacco and the Baltimore Ravens last week, they don’t stand a chance against Mahomes and company on Monday Night Football.