Monday Night Football Week 14: Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots – Free Betting Preview and Prediction
The Ravens head to Foxboro to take on the Patriots in the Week 14 edition of Monday Night Football. The game has significant implications for both teams regarding playoff seeding and for Baltimore, in the divisional race.
New England opened as -8 favorites, but that quickly fell after the markets opened to -7 and now -6.5 at most sportsbooks. The total opened at 44.5 points and hasn’t moved off that number.
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The Ravens – Kings of the North
Baltimore currently lead the AFC North, but their 7-5 record is tied with Pittsburgh. The Ravens hold the tiebreaker against their division rivals but will meet later this year to decide their series. In the meantime, every game is critical for Baltimore.
The Ravens took care of the visiting Miami Dolphins last week without issue, scoring nearly 40 points and holding the visiting Fins without a touchdown to win 38-6.
The Patriots – Still the Top of the AFC
If the season ended today, New England would earn themselves a first-round bye, along with home-field advantage throughout out the playoffs. They have a 10-2 record after defeating the visiting Rams at home last week by a score of 26-10.
However, the Patriots took a big loss over the past week with tight end Rob Gronkowski sidelined for the rest of the season due to back surgery. His loss will be a huge hit to the offense, particularly Tom Brady’s passing attack.
Football Betting Prediction
The line movement tells us where we need to be on this game. The sharp side is surely the Ravens, but it depends on the price you can get to make this bet +EV or not. I still do like the Ravens at +6.5, even though we’ve lost a lot of value since they were +8.
Let’s not forget how improved the Ravens defense is this year. They’re a veteran team as well, so there won’t be any questions on how they can handle the atmosphere or focus against New England at Foxboro.
Losing Gronk isn’t just losing another offensive piece – it’s a massive downgrade for the entire offense. Tom Brady has been considerably better with him in the lineup versus without. They can try the dink-and-dunk style against the Ravens, but Miami ran a similar offense last week with no success.
Take the points with Baltimore on the road and sweat out a close finish.