Monday Night Football Week 12: Green Bay Packers at Philadelphia Eagles – Free Betting Preview and Prediction
The odds opened in this game with the Eagles as -3 favorites. Since the initial odds, the line has shifted more towards Philadelphia, with most online bookmakers giving them a -4 or -4.5 advantage. As of this writing, at BetOnline (Full Review), they are -4 favorites.
The total has seen little change since opening at 47 points. The odds have moved just a point to 47.5 at most sportsbooks, including BetOnline.
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Green Bay – Season in Jeopardy
The Packers head to Lincoln Financial Field for Monday Night Football that is probably a must-win for Green Bay. They have yet to win a game in the month of November, with their last victory coming against the lowly Chicago Bears back on October 20th.
Since then, it’s been a rough go for Aaron Rodgers and company. They’ve lost four straight games, including a 42-24 defeat at Washington, which pushed their overall record to 4-6. They’re now sitting in third place in the NFC North behind the Lions and Vikings.
They’re not out of the playoffs race just yet, but they likely can’t lose another game and the teams ahead of them must slip up and lose at least two games. The Packers’ defense has been the root of their problems.
After injuries, have depleted their secondary, Green Bay has given up 32, 31, 47, and 42 points in their four-game slide. The Eagles have one of the least potent offenses in the league, but anyone who has taken the field against the Packers recently has been able to move the ball with ease.
Philadelphia – Building for Next Season?
Like Green Bay, the Eagle started the season off strong but have begun to falter. Their division is also considerably tougher, so unless they win out the rest of the season – they’re not likely to make the playoffs.
Philadelphia lost at Seattle last week 26-15 to drop their record to 5-5 on the season. They are in last place in the NFC East and are in no position to catch the division-leading Dallas Cowboys, which have the best record in the NFL at 10-1.
Ideally, we would have liked to lock this one at Eagles -3, but even though that opportunity is gone. The Eagles are still my favorite play at -4.
Green Bay’s defense has been so horrible over the past few weeks and though the Eagles have had plenty of issues on offense – this is a “get-right” spot for them if I’ve ever seen one. Doug Peterson has shown some excellent offensive game planning, even with limited talent. I expect him to have a healthy game plan tonight.
The Packers may return cornerback Demarious Randall, and he should help a secondary that has surrendered seven receiving touchdowns in the past two weeks, but his return won’t trigger a massive turnaround for this defense. It’s still iffy if he even suits up, even then, their system is so broken at this point – it’s likely not going to change much.
The Eagles defense has suffered from similar woes, but they’re still a much better overall unit than the Packers. Aaron Rodgers has not looked like himself for quite a while now, and the offense just isn’t a fearsome group anymore. Much of that, in my opinion, has to do with the play calling of Mike McCarthy and his coaching staff.
Lay the points with the home team.
Pick: Eagles -4