Nadal Vs Thiem Expert Pick & Betting Odds | Roland Garros Final 2019
2019 French Open Finals Betting Preview
A re-edition of last year’s Roland Garros final will take the stage on Sunday when Rafael Nadal looks for his 12th French Open final as he faces the challenging Dominic Thiem in the Men’s final.
Nadal vs. Thiem – French Open Final Odds
|Nadal||-476||-5.5 (-138)||O 36.5 (-111)|
|Thiem||+309||+5.5 (+100)||U 36.5 (-123)|
It’s not a surprise Rafa Nadal reached the Roland Garros final again. He’s the 11th time champion now with a 12-0 record in the semifinals of the tournament. When Nadal reaches the semis he wins. More impressive than that is that he also wins when he reaches the final. Nadal is 11-0 in French Open finals. Last year he took down Dominic Thiem in straight sets.
Nadal – King Of Clay Courts – Is The Big Favorite
Nadal opened the tournament as the ultimate favorite to win it at -110. By the time he got to the quarterfinals, he was already -175. Now to bet Nadal to win the final we need to lay down $500 to win $100. Granted, Rafa in France has been the most locked bet in tennis in the last decade. The oddsmakers are giving the Spaniard 84% of implied probability to win another final.
A few things give Nadal the edge over Thiem for Sunday’s final. Experience and record in the Roland Garros final are the obvious ones. He will have one more day of rest after beating Roger Federer in straight sets on Friday. The Austrian went five sets against Novak Djokovic, and his last game was played on Saturday. But also Nadal showed Friday he’s the best player in the history of tennis when the tournaments are on clay. There is no debate.
Thiem Might Be A Good Match For Nadal
So, why are we bothering talking about this final if it is already decided? Not so fast. Nadal is the clear cut favorites, and that’s not a debate, but Dominic Thiem might be the only player who can give him a real challenge. The Austrian beat Novak Djokovic in five sets in the semifinals and has become in the last year and a half one of the best players on the ATP tour. His playing style works beyond marvels on clay, and he’s eight years younger than Nadal.
During the Roland Garros final, players need stamina and speed to challenge Nadal. The Spaniard is one of the most resilience players tennis has ever seen. To have a shot against him, opponents need to realize it’s going to be a long battle. It’s probably going to take a five sets matchup to win. Nadal is not going to give anything away. Dominic Thiem has both the speed and the endurance to go the distance with Nadal. He also has the technique to challenge the Spanish player.
The oddsmakers are giving Thiem a 23% chance to get the upset and beat Nadal. It might not sound like a lot, but it’s an excellent number considering Rafa has never lost a Roland Garros final. If you want to play the value, there is plenty on betting the Austrian to win.
Bet To Place On The French Open Final
Now, for those wanting the best play available, it’s betting Nadal on the moneyline. He has been the most bulletproof bet in tennis for the past 13 seasons during the French Open. It should stay that way this year as well.
What’s the play? Nadal -476.
2019 Roland Garros Men’s Tennis Finals Information
- Date: Sunday, June 9, 2019
- Game Time: 9:00 AM ET
- Venue: Court Philippe Chatrier
Roland Garros Finals Betting At MyBookie Sportsbook
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