NBA Betting 1-26-17 – Free Picks

We have just a 4-game slate on the hardwood today. All our odds will be quoted from BetOnline (Full Review) and are accurate at the time of posting. However, be sure to line shop for the best price.

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Dallas Mavericks at Oklahoma City Thunder -7 Total: 201.5

The Mavericks travel to Oklahoma City to take on the Thunder in a game that headlines tonight’s TNT NBA Thursday.

In their first year without Kevin Durant, the Thunder have put together a strong season. That’s mostly due to the play of point guard, Russell Westbrook. Westbrook notched another triple-double on Wednesday night in an 114-105 win against the Pelicans in New Orleans.

The victory gave OKC a 27-19 record as we approach the All-Star break next month. If the playoffs began tomorrow, the Thunder would lock down the sixth seed in the Western Conference.

To say it’s been a tougher year for the Mavericks would be an understatement. They’re having their worst season in quite some time, and they’ve been hit once again with the injury bug. Forward Wesley Matthews has been ruled out for tonight’s game already, and it is unlikely that guard Deron Williams plays after hurting his toe in last night’s contest.

Despite losing Williams and being without Matthews, Dallas was able to pull out a 103-95 victory over the visiting New York Knicks. Even with the win, they’re far out of playoff contention with a 13-29 record in a tough Western Conference.

Betting Action

The Thunder opened as -7 favorites. They have received the majority of betting action so far. The total opened at 199.5 points. That number still stands at some bookmakers, while others have moved up the number to 201.5.

Prediction

Taking public home favorites isn’t my favorite thing to do, especially in the NBA, where home and away splits are less significant than other sports – but this is such an excellent spot for Oklahoma City.

The Mavericks will have a hard time matching OKC in scoring output and are undersized in the frontcourt with Adams and Kanter both offering offensive and defensive prowess. This one could turn into a blowout by halftime, and I expect this spread to adjust as we get closer to tip. Grab this one early.

Pick: Thunder -7

Indiana Pacers at Minnesota Timberwolves -3.5 Total: 212

Indiana travels to Minnesota to take on a young but improving Timberwolves squad.

The Pacers haven’ taken a step forward in what has been a relatively top-heavy conference in the East. They’re up and down season continued Monday evening, losing 109-103 against the Knicks at Madison Square Garden.

However, Indiana would still make the playoffs if the season started today. Their 22-22 record is currently good enough for the sixth seed. Monday’s loss was their third straight.

Many expected the Timberwolves to compete for a playoff spot this season. For the first part of the year, that did not look like a possibility. However, their recent play as of late may get them into the postseason.

Minnesota has won six of their last seven games, including three straight contests. They last played on Tuesday night at Phoenix, notching an 112-111 victory. They’re currently 12th in the Western Conference but are just two games behind eighth-seeded, Denver Nuggets.

Betting Action

The Timberwolves opened as -5 favorites in this contest. The number has moved to -3.5 across the board after almost 70 percent of wagers have come in on the Pacers. The total opened at 213.5 but has dropped to 211.5.

Prediction

This is a strong spot for Indiana, which is coming off three days of rest. Yes, they’re not excellent basketball as of late, but we can’t confuse the Timberwolves with a top team in the Western Conference.

Their recent win streak hasn’t exactly been against the toughest competition. They have beaten the Suns, Nuggets, and a short-handed Clippers’ team. I think Indiana breaks their losing streak tonight and with them getting +3.5, it’s too hard to pass up, despite their recent run of poor play.

Pick: Pacers +3.5

Joseph Falchetti

Joe is the author of the blog, most picks, and the majority of excellent content on SafestBettingSites. He's been mentioned on Forbes.com as a gaming analyst and his articles have been linked by larger publications, such as the New York Times.

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