NBA Betting 12-6-16 – Free Picks
San Antonio travels to Minnesota to take on the Wolves after winning a close game on Sunday at Milwaukee. The 97-96 victory pushed the veteran Spurs to a 17-4 record on the season. It’s the second-best mark in the Western Conference behind the Golden State Warriors (18-3).
The Wolves are one of the most talented young teams in the West, regarding athleticism, but that hasn’t translated into wins, at least, not yet. Minnesota did win at Charlotte on Saturday, which broke a four-game slide. However, they’re still one of the worst teams in with a 6-14 record.
The game opened the Spurs -4 but has moved to -4.5, with 80 percent of wagers coming in San Antonio. The total has seen even betting action but has dropped from a 206-opening number to 204.5.
It’s always tough to go against the Spurs, especially with young teams with little experience, but they’re not quite the dominant team that they were in past years. Yes, they’re second in record in the league, but most of their games are coming down to the wire.
Minnesota is well-rested and should come out strong tonight after finally breaking their losing streak on Sunday. They have won half their games at home this season. A number I expect to get higher as the season goes along.
Pick: Wolves +4.5
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Phoenix Suns at Utah Jazz -7.5 Total: 203
The Suns are an incredibly bad run. Phoenix has lost seven out of its last ten games. They were beaten badly on Sunday night at San Antonio, losing by a score of 138-109. They are tied with the Timberwolves with a 6-14 record for the worst in the Western Conference.
Utah is headed in the opposite direction and is turning into a dangerous team in the West. They have only lost one game in their past seven contests. They’re coming off a victory last night against the Los Angeles Lakers at Staples Centre, where they won 107-101. The Jazz would be the 7th seed if the playoffs started today with a 13-9 record.
The home team opened as a -9 favorite in this one. Since opening, the odds have moved to Utah -7.5. Betting action has been 50/50 in this game on both sides. The total has dropped from an opener of 204 to 203.
Phoenix is a tough team to want to bet on, but in this spot, there is a lot of merit. The Jazz aren’t the best off back-to-backs, and the Suns are a fast paced team that can run a team ragged that already has tired legs.
Furthermore, the matchup bodes well for Phoenix, a team that relies on their guards and perimeter shooting more than other teams. They won’t have their drive game with Rudy Gobert clogging the paint, but they shouldn’t have issues from outside where the Jazz are the weakest defensively.
Pick: Suns +7.5