NBA Betting 3-15-17 – Free Picks

We went 2-0 yesterday, as we continue our strong run as of late. Wednesday’s slate is 10-games. If you’re interested in NCAA Tournament Betting, we will have free picks starting tomorrow and every day throughout the tournament. We will be picking back up with NBA action on Monday.

As always, all our odds will be quoted from BetOnline (Full Review) and are accurate at the time of posting. However, be sure to line shop for the best price before placing your bet.

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Dallas Mavericks at Washington Wizards -7.5 Total: 207.5

Dallas and Dirk Nowitzki travel to Washington, DC to take on John Wall and the Wizards.

Dallas is coming off a Monday defeat at Toronto. The Mavericks were blown out of the game in the second half and looked as bad as they have all season. It was their second straight loss, but before losing their last two – the Mavs had won four straight games.

The loss dropped their overall record to 28-38. They still have a shot to make the playoffs, but every game is critical from here on out. They’re 3.5 games behind the Denver Nuggets for the final playoff spot in the Western Conference.

The Wizards are also coming off a defeat on Monday which finished up a Western Conference road trip. Their 119-104 loss at Minnesota was their first in defeat since March 5th. Before Monday’s loss, they had won five straight games.

The Wizards sit near the top of the Eastern Conference with a 41-25 record. Their recent loss dropped them behind the Celtics in the standings. However, they’re just a half-game behind the Boston for the second spot and three games behind the East-leading, Cavaliers.

Betting Action

Washington opened as a-7.5 favorite. We’re getting this article out earlier today and haven’t seen any line movement just yet. Betting action appears to be close to even between the two teams, with the Wizards getting slightly more wagers so far.

Prediction

I love this Wizards in this back-bounce back spot. Not only that, but the Mavericks may come into this game potentially short-handed. Both Wesley Matthews and Nerlens Noel are questionable to tonight. Matthews loss will be especially critical, as he’s their best defensive player.

I’m always more interested in playing the Wizards against teams that aren’t offensive juggernauts and Dallas certainly fits that bill. Washington is lazy on defense, but they can score at will and have a much deeper team than the Mavs, particularly if they’re down two players.

Washington has also been outstanding on their home court. Their 26-9 mark at the Verizon Center is one of the best marks in the league. I expect them to win this one easily by double digits.

Pick: Wizards -7.5

Milwaukee Bucks at Los Angeles Clippers -8 Total: 209

The Clippers have been playing excellent basketball as they welcome the Bucks to town.

Milwaukee is coming off an 113-93 loss at Memphis on Monday. It was their first loss in six games. The Bucks have improved immensely since Khris Middleton returned from injury and became a regular, without a minute restriction.

They have a 32-34 record, which is currently good enough for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. However, every game is critical for the Bucks for playoff seeding. They’re just a half-game behind the Pistons for the seventh seed and just a half-game ahead of the Bulls and Heat who are also looking to make the postseason.

The Clippers are coming off a loss on Monday against the Jazz but had won their previous three games. They’ve been uneven overall, winning five out of their last ten games, but have faced a tough schedule during that span.

L.A. is firmly in the playoffs, but they have a lot to play for regarding seeding. They’re currently fifth in the West with a 40-27 record. They are two games behind the Jazz for the fourth spot and two games ahead of the Thunder in the sixth.

Betting Action

The Clippers opened as a -7.5-favorite overnight. They have moved to -8 at most shops. Betting action has been around 50/50 for both sides. The Bucks have gotten a bit more action as underdogs.

Prediction

The Clippers lost at the Milwaukee on March 3rd and while they get a boost from being at home in this matchup – I still feel like 8 points too many to give up. L.A. is a strong team, but they’re not elite, and the Bucks have quietly one of the NBA’s best teams since the All-Star Break.

Milwaukee’s defense should have some success in slowing down the Clippers’ stars in Griffin and Paul, but I can’t see that happening on the other side. L.A.’s paint defense is porous, which should allow them to get to the rim early and often. They may win this game outright.

Pick: Bucks +8

Joseph Falchetti

Joe is the author of the blog, most picks, and the majority of excellent content on SafestBettingSites. He's been mentioned on Forbes.com as a gaming analyst and his articles have been linked by larger publications, such as the New York Times.

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