NBA Free Expert Picks – Jazz Vs. Rockets | Betting Odds
After an MVP Caliber season, James Harden will try to take the Houston Rockets to the promised land. Their first obstacle in the road to the title is the always dangerous Utah Jazz, which is not willing to be just a part of the Rockets’ storyline. Let’s just say it. James Harden deserves the MVP award… in a world where Giannis Antetokounmpo doesn’t live. It doesn’t matter if Harden doesn’t end up winning it; that doesn’t take away the fact that he had a fantastic season. Perhaps he had the most lopsided season of his career, where he pretty much carried his team during the past five months.
I Utah Jazz Vs. Houston Rockets Predictions
I’m expecting Chris Paul to help out in the playoffs, if he can stay healthy; and knowing CP3’s career, that’s a big if. Even with James Harden’s solo show, the Rockets are +1200 to win the NBA title at MyBookie.ag. That’s an implied probability of around 8% to win the Championship. If we are honest, 8% doesn’t sound like a lot, but they have the second best chances in the Western Conference, only behind the Golden State Warriors. The Rockets are even getting more respect than the Denver Nuggets (+1700), who is the second seed in the Conference, and the Portland Trail Blazers (+4500) who are third.
Houston did start the season at +880 to win it all, but injuries and a slow start changed the entire scenario. To get the Rockets at +1200, with two months to play in the whole season, presents a lot of value. They are basically the only team in the West built to beat the Warriors; so in terms of risk and reward, 12/1 looks good enough. Utah is a dangerous team, and Houston knows it.
They split the season series with two wins apiece, but the Rockets did win the last two in the series. What the Jazz presents if a challenge in the paint with Rudy Gobert playing at such a high level this year. Gobert might be the key to this series. If he can stay out of foul trouble, then Utah will have a shot at an upset. The Jazz is +5000 to win the NBA title with just 2% of chances to take the Championship home. Let’s face it, nobody is expecting Utah to make a deep run in the playoffs, but they should be a pain in the butt every night.
The betting line opened with the Rockets at 6-point favorites and it climbed up to 6.5 in the last few hours. I don’t expect a sudden movement until the tipoff, but if you are taking Utah, that half a point it’s worth betting the Jazz right now. It’s not worth waiting to see if the betting odds will go up to 7. At home I expect Houston to wrap up game one without any problems. James Harden is at an unprecedented level. Utah will eventually adjust, but game one should be for the Rockets.
What’s the play? Rockets -6.5
- Spread: Rockets -6.5
- Money line: Utah +210 vs. Houston -260
- Game total: 217
- Date: Sunday, April 14, 2019
- Game time: 9:30 PM ET
- Venue: Toyota Center, Houston, TX
- TV: TNT
- Western Conference Playoffs Round 1
Jazz Vs. Rockets Betting At MyBookie Sportsbook
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