NBA Sports Betting 11-14-16 – Free Picks

nba free picks

We have a fuller 8-game slate tonight on the hardwood. Let’s get right into the picks. All our odds will be quoted from BetOnline (Full Review) and will be accurate at the time of posting. However, be sure to line shop for the best price.

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Oklahoma City Thunder at Detroit Pistons -3 Total: 202

The Thunder head to the Palace of Auburn Hills to take on the Pistons. Oklahoma City is coming off a game last night, making this a back-to-back for the Russell Westbrook and company. Westbrook went supernova in the 119-117 loss last night against Orlando, scoring 41 points while dishing out 16 assists and 12 rebounds for a triple-double. The loss put their season record at 6-4.

Detroit last played Saturday at Denver. They won the game handily, by a score of 106-95. The win improved their record to an even 5-5 on the year. Center Andre Drummond notched 14 points and 12 boards in just 26 minutes in the victory.

This game has seen some reverse line movement. The Pistons opened as -2 favorites. Despite more than 60 percent of wagers coming on the Thunder, the odds have moved to Pistons -3 across the board.

Detroit is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA. They don’t struggle in any particular area and have some excellent numbers against point guards. Westbrook is hard to corral for any team, but he is coming off of a 39-minute outing last night. I expect him to have a big game tonight, but that may not be enough for the Thunder.

The secondary pieces in this game all have tougher matchups, including the interior, where Steven Adams will face Andre Drummond. This game should be close, but I think the fresher bodies on Detroit take control of the game if it goes down to the wire.

Pick: Pistons -3

Brooklyn Nets at Los Angeles Clippers -14.5 Total: 214.5nba-free-picks

The Nets head out West to take on one of the hottest teams in basketball now, The Los Angeles Clippers. The spread in this one is the largest on the slate, which is close to 15 points.

New Jersey has played surprisingly well, especially considering they lost starting point guard Jeremy Lin to a hamstring strain back on Nov. 3rd. The Nets last played on Saturday in Phoenix. They continued to score in bunches, winning the game 122-104 against the Suns and improving their record to 4-5.

The Clippers are notorious for not being able to make that leap in the playoffs and reach the finals, but no team looks better than L.A. right now. They have the best record in the NBA at 9-1 and are coming off an 119-105 beating of the Timberwolves on Sunday.

The odds opened with the Clippers at -15 in this one, before moving to -14.5 at most sportsbooks. Betting action, on sides, has been right down the middle for the part. The total opened at 211 but has jumped up to 214.5 across the board.

Typically, I don’t like laying double-digits in any sport, especially football, but basketball falls into that category as well. However, the Clippers have blown out so many teams this year. They’re well rested and at home, facing a Nets team that is 1-3 on the road this season, and may be playing over their potential.

The backdoor cover possibly always exists, but the L.A.’s bench this year has been fantastic, which is a significant change from years past. Take the large favorite and lay the points.

Pick: Clippers -14.5

Joseph Falchetti

Joseph Falchetti - Editor-in-Chief / Sports Writer & Analyst

Joe is the author of the blog, most picks, and the majority of excellent content on SafestBettingSites. He's been mentioned on as a gaming analyst and his articles have been linked by larger publications, such as the New York Times.

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