Tennessee Titans Vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Playoffs Betting Picks And Odds
The Kansas City Chiefs are ready to host their second consecutive AFC Championship game.
After coming back from a 24-point deficit, the Chiefs will host the red-hot Tennessee Titans for a spot in Super Bowl LIV.
These two already met in Week 10, when Tennessee won 35-32 in a thrilling game. It was also the last time the Chiefs lost this season.
Let’s break it down.
Tennessee Titans (9-7) vs Kansas City Chiefs (12-4) Odds
|+7.5 (-110)||Spread||-7.5 (-110)|
|O 52.5 (-110)||Total||U 52.5 (-110)|
|Bet On Tennessee Titans at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Game At MyBookie.ag|
What The NFL Odds Say About The Titans Vs. Chiefs Odds
The opening line for the AFC Championship saw the Chiefs -7.5. In some places, you can find Kansas City as a touchdown favorite, but not a lot of sportsbooks have that betting line available.
54% of the bets on this game are coming on the side of the Kansas City Chiefs.
The Tennessee Titans’ Edge Vs. The Chiefs
Unlike the rest of the league, the Titans are not afraid of the Kansas City Chiefs. Tennessee already beat KC this season, and they have won their last four meetings in a row, including a playoff contest a couple of years ago.
But it’s not only about that. After ending the seasons of the Super Bowl champs, New England Patriots and the number one seed in the AFC, Baltimore Ravens, I don’t think there is a team playing with more confidence than the Titans right now.
Over the past three games, Tennessee has won in the trenches. On offense, RB Derrick Henry has recorded 180+ rushing yards in three consecutive outings, including the week 17 win over Houston.
Against New England, he had 204 scrimmage yards, and against Baltimore, Henry recorded 202. He has also been responsible for two touchdowns, and even one was a TD pass.
Ryan Tannehill and the offense
But it’s not only him. QB Ryan Tannehill has been good enough to make plays when the offense needs him to. Against the Patriots, he completed a critical third-down that sealed the deal. Against the Ravens, he was responsible for three touchdowns. Tannehill had two passing and one running.
The Titans red zone offense has been the best in the NFL since Ryan Tannehill took over. They were scoring TDs in 86% of their trips to the red zone during the regular season.
Now in the playoffs, they are 5-5 in the red zone. Twice they scored against New England and three times against Baltimore. Their kicker Greg Joseph, who was signed in December, hasn’t kicked a field goal since he joined the team.
An Impeccable defense
Their defense deserves a lot of credit as well. The Titans have allowed just two touchdowns in the red zone in six trips. New England was stuffed in the one-yard line during a key play in the wildcard round, and Baltimore failed to convert in three of their four chances last weekend.
The Kansas City Chiefs’ Edge vs. Titans
As mentioned above, Tennessee has dominated both lines of scrimmage to pull this improbable run in the AFC. However, they haven’t faced a player like Patrick Mahomes.
While Tom Brady is clearly better than Mahomes career-wise, the 2019 version of Brady was far away from his best form. Not to mention the Patriots offense lacked talent.
Stopping Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson was easier than expected as the QB didn’t have room to run, and his passes never did any real damage to the Titans.
Let’s talk Patrick Mahomes
Mahomes is another story, especially after his 5 TDs passes on Sunday in the 51-31 win over the Texans. Pat led his team to seven consecutive drives with a touchdown. He felt like the kid who blew up the NFL last season with 50 touchdowns during the regular season.
When the Titans beat the Chiefs in the regular season, Tennessee didn’t stop Patrick Mahomes at all. He threw for 446 yards and three touchdowns. It just happens that Kansas City’s defense couldn’t stop Derrick Henry either, and the Titans had the last scoring drive of the game.
The one concern about Kansas City is the health of DT Chris Jones. He missed the game against Houston due to a calf injury and is listed as questionable to face the Titans in the AFC Championship game.
Tennessee Titans vs. Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship Game Prediction
Just by looking at the performance of the Tennessee Titans in the last three games, I can sense Kansas City will have a lot of problems stopping the run. Especially if Chris Jones is not fit to go on Sunday.
In December, the Chiefs allowed the Chargers, Bears, and Raiders to go over 100-rushing yards when they faced them. None of those teams are even remotely as good as the Titans rushing the football.
Kansas City allowed over 200-rushing yards twice this season. Once against the Ravens and the other time against the Titans. Tennessee ran for 225 yards in the first meeting, and they are even more dangerous now.
I expect both teams to find the end zone regularly. The best bet available in this game is to bet over 52.5 points. It sounds like a significant number, but both offenses have been fantastic in the red zone.
If the spread is what you are looking for, the Titans +7.5 looks like a solid wager. That half a point has a lot of value right now.
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You have the odds, you have our pick. Check out the new SBS Show with NFL experts Alonzo Solano and Joe Falchetti:
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