NFL Week 1 Against The Spread Picks Battle
If you are here, you are looking for a safe place to bet on football, some NFL free picks, or both.
Luckily for you, we can lead you there. My editor-in-chief, Joseph Falchetti, likes to trash talk about football. So, we decided to go head-to-head in our weekly NFL predictions this season.
Joe is an avid gambler with years of experience. I, myself, like to find winners every weekend and know a thing or two about football. So, this race to beat each other should be a lot of fun. The best part is you get some winners for free.
All our picks will be against the NFL point spread.
Let’s do this.
These are Joe’s NFL Picks for week 1
Washington +6 vs. Eagles
The Eagles open their season on the road against their AFC East rivals, the Washington Football Team. This is a tough spot to begin Philly’s season. They will face a tough front-seven in this matchup.
Philadelphia is also dealing with several injuries offensively and only has one healthy starting receiver in DeSean Jackson. Lane Johnson, a key cog in their offensive line, may miss this one, as well.
Washington improved a lot over this offseason, and I love them in this spot against an Eagles team that is not at full strength to start the year.
Take the points.
Dallas -3 vs. LA Rams
I love the Cowboys in this spot as they face a much weaker team in their season opener. It’s a road-spot for the Boys, but there won’t be any crowd noise (it’s not as if the Rams have a passionate fan base anyway), and the long season’s travel fatigue isn’t something to consider now.
The Rams’ roster has suffered a lot in the past few seasons, their offensive line awful and weak in coverage, aside from Jalen Ramsey. With a spread of just three points – I love the Cowboys to cover here.
I think this is an easy win for Dallas to begin the year. Lay the points.
Pittsburgh -6 vs. NY Giants
This one opened at Steelers -3.5 and the spread has moved quite a bit, but I still love Pittsburgh in this spot, as they face a far weaker New York team. Even the home field advantage won’t save the Giants here.
I’m a big fan of Danny Dimes, but I don’t think he gets it going this week against a ferocious Pittsburgh defense. Big Ben, now fully healthy, should have no issues moving the ball against the poor defensive unit on the other side of the ball.
The Steelers are a much better team and now have their franchise quarterback back under center. They should have no problem winning this one by double digits. 6 points are still too little on the point spread.
Lay the points with the road team.
The following are my NFL ATS picks for week 1
Packers +2.5 at Minnesota
Green Bay has won three of the last seven visits to Minnesota, including a victory last season.
They have the best QB in the division in Aaron Rodgers, and they are about to face a Vikings defense that lost plenty of talent in the offseason. DT Linval Joseph, DE Everson Griffen, Xavier CB Rhodes, CB Trae Waynes, and CB Mackensie Alexander were key names on the defensive side. They are all gone.
Minnesota is inexperienced on defense, and that’s not great when you deal with a savvy QB like Rodgers. Also, the Vikings lost WR Stefon Diggs. Their offense has never been scary either. Without Diggs, QB Kirk Cousins will have fewer weapons to match the Packers’ scoring.
Green Bay is in a great spot to hit a divisional rival right at the start of the season. Grab the points.
Dolphins +6.5 at New England
No team lost more talent in the offseason than the New England Patriots. They lost QB Tom Brady, LB Kyle Van Noy, and LB Jamie Collins in free agency. Then eight players opted out because of COVID, including captain LB Dont’a Hightower.
The Miami Dolphins won in New England last season in week 17. Miami got better in the offseason while the Patriots got worse. Those three names, Van Noy, Collins, and Hightower were the cornerstone of the defense in the last few years, and neither will be around.
I feel like people are overvaluing the impact of Bill Belichick. Talent matters and the Patriots have little on either side of the ball. Bet Miami with the points.
Arizona Cardinals +7 at San Francisco
Many are buying the Cardinals, which is scary, but I understand why. They have a young talented quarterback with many options to throw the football, including the superstars wideouts DeAndre Hopkins and Larry Fitzgerald.
Nevertheless, San Francisco should dominate this game. Their front seven is one of the best in the league, and Arizona’s offensive line is weak. The Cardinals allowed 48 sacks last season, tied as most in the NFL.
But I’m grabbing the points because this game is the classic backdoor cover. Arizona won’t stop throwing the football, even if it is too late. I can see them finding the end zone during garbage to make the +7 play the winner. A touchdown difference on the point spread seems too much to lay down.