NFL Week 2 – Early Week Odds at BetOnline
With Week 1 in the books, most sportsbooks already have their Week 2 odds posted. We’ll run down the odds for the upcoming week with any news and notes surrounding the games. Our odds will be from BetOnline.ag (Full Review).
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New York Jets at Buffalo Bills pk Total: 40.5 (Thursday Night Football)
New York narrowly lost to the Bengals at home last week 23-22. Buffalo put up a miserable performance against the Ravens in Baltimore. They were held to under 200 yards of offense against an average at best, Ravens’ secondary.
The biggest news is surrounding Bill’s wide receiver, Sammy Watkins. Watkins broke his foot back in April but did play in Week 1. However, he felt severe discomfort during the loss to Baltimore.
The Bills have stated that surgery won’t do any good and that the bone just needs to heal. So far, they have said that he won’t be shut down for the season. Watkins has not been ruled for this for Thursday’s game, but he has to be considered questionable, at best.
Early Lean: Buffalo opened as -2.5 favorites in this one. The line has since moved to pk across the board. The total also has dropped two points from 42.5 to 40.5 at most bookmakers. I lean slightly towards the Bills but it’s not one of my favorite plays of the week.
Tennessee Titans at Detroit Lions -5.5 Total: 47
The Titans lost last week to the visiting Vikings. After entering the half with a 10-0 lead, Tennessee scored just six points in the second half. They didn’t give up an offensive touchdown, but the Vikings scored on both an interception and fumble return to hand the Titans a 25-16 defeat.
Detroit won in a shootout, scoring five touchdowns (three in the air and two on the ground) against the Indianapolis Colts 39-25.
This total seems high for a game involving the Titans, but Detroit has run the no-huddle this season often plays at a much faster pace. Also, both teams have below average defenses.
Early Lean: Movement has gone back and forth so far on this game. The total hasn’t moved off the opener, but after opening at -6 in favor of Detroit, it moved to -5.5 and then -6. This seems like an excellent spot for the Titans to capitalize on a letdown spot against the Lions after an emotional victory last week against Indianapolis. The public likes Detroit so far, so waiting to bet this one makes sense.
Kansas City Chiefs at Houston Texans -2.5 Total: 43.5
Both Kansas City and Houston came from behind last week to win.
The Chiefs fell behind to the Chargers but overcame a 17-point deficit in the final quarter to force overtime. Alex Smith rushed it in on the first possession of overtime to give Kansas City 33-27 win in front of their home fans.
Brock Osweiler won his first start for the Texans but had to overcome a 14-10 halftime deficit. Houston’s defense didn’t give up another point in the second half, and Houston cruised to 24-14 victory.
Again, we have a smaller total than expected here, but both of these teams have excellent defenses, at least on paper. We do not doubt Houston’s talent, but Kansas City looked like they had plenty of holes against the Chargers last week.
Early Lean: Houston seems like the play here. The Chiefs go on the road after a tough fought divisional win and couldn’t face a tougher opponent defensively. They started slow against the Chargers, and they will lose this game if it goes the same way. The line is moving to -3 at a lot of spots. The total hasn’t moved since opening.
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots -6.5 Total: 41.5
The Dolphins head into their first AFC East matchup with a 0-1 record after losing a hard fought game against Seattle. The Seahawks scored in the final seconds to make to give them a 12-10 victory, in easily the lowest scoring game of the week.
The Patriots shocked nearly everyone, including the oddsmakers, after winning 23-21 at Arizona behind backup, Jimmy Garoppolo. The spread moved to -9 for the Cardinals as it got closer to game time after staying at -6 for much of the week.
The spread seems about right for this one, but wow the total seems awfully small. Rob Gronkowski is still questionable to play for New England after sitting out Week 1. Miami is also still without several members of their secondary.
Early Lean: This is a tough one to gauge, but the sharps already hit the line hard after it opened at New England -5.5. I thought Miami played well at Seattle last week, but they’re on the road once again in a tough environment, against a smart coach.
Baltimore Ravens at Cleveland Browns +7 Total: 42.5
The Ravens head to Cleveland to take on the Browns after winning narrowly at home to Buffalo last week 13-7.
The Browns lost Sunday to the Eagles and rookie quarterback Carson Wentz, but they also lost quarterback Robert Griffin III for most of the season after he broke a bone in his non-throwing shoulder. RG3 will be evaluated again in a few weeks and may need season-ending surgery.
This thrusts Josh McCown into the starting role. A role he’s had plenty of success, despite Cleveland’s never ending futility. In my opinion, he’s a definite upgrade over Griffin
Early Lean: I like the Browns way too much in this spot. They’ve got a better quarterback now. They’re at home. Most bets are coming on the Ravens right now, which bodes well for getting an excellent price on Cleveland to the middle and end of the week. The total has seen a slight drop from 43.5 to 42.5 since opening.
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers -3 Total: 48.5
The Bengals are coming off a road victory against the Jets. They were down early but rallied last to win 23-22.
Pittsburgh took care of business in a big way on Monday Night. My bankroll felt their dominance. After turning the ball over early and the Redskins’ offense looking great after the first quarter, the Steelers dominated the rest of the game, winning 38-16.
Early Lean: Betting has been split down the middle so far. The total moved a half-point since opening 48 to 48.5. Pittsburgh originally opened as -4 favorites, but that was quickly bet down to -3. I lean Bengals because I still think the Steelers are going to have major problems stopping the pass and Washington simply didn’t come to play Monday night.
Dallas Cowboys at Washington Redskins -2.5 Total: 45
The Cowboys lost their home opener last week to the Giants 20-19. If it wasn’t for poor clock management at the end of the game, they might have won the game and Dak Prescott’s first start as a rookie. With that said, he looked good against a clearly improved Giants defense.
Few teams looked worse than Washington in Week 1. They were blown out in primetime by the Steelers at FedEx Field, losing 38-16.
Early Lean: The Redskins tackling last week was pathetic. They’re now about to face the league’s best offensive line. Dallas is a good team with Dak running the show, and they could easily come away with a victory. Cowboys +3 is available at some sportsbooks now. The odds could get better as well, with substantial public Betting on the Redskins so far.
New Orleans Saints at New York Giants -4.5 Total: 52.5
Despite scoring 34 points, the Saints lost in their home opener against the Oakland Raiders. Jack Del Rio could have tied the game with under a minute left, but he decided to go for a two-point conversion, and Oakland succeeded.
New York narrowly edged out the Cowboys, in Dallas, 21-20.
Early Lean: The Giants opened as -3.5 favorites, but this quickly grew to -4.5. The total has dropped slightly from 53 to 52.5. The Saints play a lot worse on the road, something that the general public often forgets. For now, the only play for me in this game is the G-men, but not sure I love it just yet. Games between these teams have ended in shootouts the past few years.
San Francisco 49ers at Carolina Panthers -13.5 Total: 45.5
The 49ers shocked much of the nation last night by throttling the visiting Rams 28-0. They will face a much tougher test this week at Carolina. The Panthers almost won their game against the defending champion Broncos last Thursday but missed a last second field to lose 21-20.
Early Lean: This is a letdown spot for the 49ers, but 13.5 is also quite a lot. The odds opened at Carolina -11.5 but quickly started moving in favor of the Panthers. I lean Panthers in this one but Carolina’s secondary is extremely inexperienced, and this one could stay close.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Arizona Cardinals -6.5 Total: 50
Tampa Bay started the season off right, beating the division rival Atlanta Falcons 31-24 in a high scoring affair in Week 1. The Cardinals, not so much. They lost to an undermanned Patriots team on Sunday Night Football by a score of 23-21.
Early Lean: Arizona is a team I like a lot this week. It may be better to bet this one early rather than wait because there is a good chance this gets to -7 with a bunch of juice by the weekend. They could win this one by double-digits easily. They’re motivated after a tough loss, and the Buccaneers are riding high after a win.
Atlanta Falcons at Oakland Raiders -4.5 Total: 49.5
Early Lean: Tough one to call in my mind. Early action has seen the total rise for 47 to 49. The Raiders also opened at -4. I will lean Oakland because I do think they’ve improved drastically in the offseason, especially defensively, even though they gave up 34 points last week.
Jacksonville Jaguars at San Diego Chargers -3 Total: 47
Early Lean: Another one of my favorite bets so far is San Diego. It’s a great spot for them at home against a Jaguars team that majorly overachieved last season. Both teams are coming off a loss, but we also have the east coast team heading out west situation a well. One could make a case that the Chargers should be favored by a touchdown.
Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings -2 Total: 44
Early Lean: The Vikings look like the best play here. People forget, they did win the division last season. They’re at home, in primetime, and facing a weak run defense, an area where they excel. The public is betting Green Bay hard. It may be worth waiting for +3.
Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears -3 Total: 42.5
Early Lean: The Bears defense is so just so weak it’s hard to see them competing in many games this season. Wentz had a pretty easy Week 1 against the Browns, but this one may not be much more difficult. It seems like a spot to like the Bears, but the Eagles are a much better than people are giving them credit for, especially on defense.
Check back later in the week for free picks on every game!