NFL Week 3: Thursday Night Football – Rams at 49ers

We missed on Monday Night’s game with the Giants -3, but we’re back at it today for Thursday Night Football. The NFC West is on display tonight in a game that has quite the low total. It’s a vital game for both teams in what is one of the toughest divisions in football.

Our odds are from Bovada and are accurate as of writing. Still, it pays to line shop for the best price on your wagers.

Los Angeles Rams -3 (-110) at San Francisco 49ers +3 (-110) Total: 40

L.A. opened the season with a beat down at Indianapolis, shutting down the Colts offense and doing plenty of scoring on their own in a 46-9 victory. In their home opener last week, the Rams fell to the visiting Redskins but had a chance to win the game in the final minutes before the game ended with a Jared Goff interception.

The 49ers offseason brought a lot of hype, with Kyle Shanahan taking over for Chip Kelly and installing a new offensive system. He also brought over quarterback Brian Hoyer and wideout, Pierre Garcon to lead the offense. Well, it hasn’t turned out so well, at least, so far.

Defensively is where they have shown improvement, rather than on the offensive side of the ball. They were beaten severely by the Panthers in Week 1 and fell to the Seahawks on the road. The game was extremely close throughout, but it wasn’t much of an offensive display from either team as San Francisco lost by a score of 9-12.

Betting Action

The odds opened with the Rams at -3. This has bounced around a bit, with them going back down to -2.5, but as of this writing, they’re -3 at most sportsbooks. Over 70 percent of wagers have been placed on the Rams so far.

The total has seen quite the drop since opening at 42 points. Bettors have overwhelmingly favored betting the under so far. As of this writing, it’s at 40 points at Bovada and around the same number at other online bookmakers.

Prediction

This certainly isn’t my favorite game to bet on this week. I would probably look to bet a half-unit rather than a full unit on this game, regardless of where your action is, whether on the side or total. With that said, I am leaning towards the Rams in this spot.

I don’t think Goff is going to be a star, but he appears to be a serviceable game-manager, at least so far. San Francisco’s defense has been stronger so far, but they have also faced two offenses that are out of sync. Cam Newton has been awful, and the Seahawks offensive line might be the worst in the league.

They’ll face a much tougher test with a Rams front that has been improved with the offseason signing of Andrew Whitworth and has plenty of skill position weapons, like Todd Gurley, and receivers, Sammy Watkins and rookie, Cooper Kupp.

Furthermore, the amount of pressure that Hoyer has seen so far is worrisome, along with his decision-making. He looked like an All-Star in the preseason, but as soon as the games have started to matter, he’s regressed into the journeyman quarterback that we have seen throughout his career.

Protection is certainly one of the reasons for his poor play, but that isn’t going to get better tonight as Los Angeles has one of the better front sevens in the NFC. I like the road team and will lay the points.

Pick: Rams -3 at Bovada.lv

Joseph Falchetti

Joseph Falchetti - Editor-in-Chief / Sports Writer & Analyst

Joe is the author of the blog, most picks, and the majority of excellent content on SafestBettingSites. He's been mentioned on Forbes.com as a gaming analyst and his articles have been linked by larger publications, such as the New York Times.

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