NFL Week 7 – Best Bets Against the Spread: Jets at Dolphins and More
We had a profitable Week 6, winning with the Bears +6.5 and the Cardinals -1. Our only loss was the Browns +9.5. Week 7 looks to be an interesting week, with many low totals, excluding the Sunday Night Football game between the Falcons and Patriots. Let’s get some more money this week!
All odds from this article with be quoting from SportsBetting.ag and are accurate as of writing. They’re our top-rated sportsbook. Deposit today at SportBetting.ag and get a 75% Bonus up to $1,000. However, we still encourage you to line shop for the best price and utilize multiple sportsbooks.
New York Jets +3.5 (-117) at Miami Dolphins -3.5 (-103) Total: 38.5
The Jets head to Miami as these two AFC East division mates meet for the first time this season. The Jets are coming off a narrow loss to the visiting Patriots and the Dolphins off a surprise road win at Atlanta.
This game will be critical for both team’s playoff hopes as they have found themselves in a tough division. Miami currently sits in third place with a 3-2 record, and the Jets are in last at 3-3.
McCown and the Jets have a clear matchup advantage this week.
The Dolphins opened at -4 early in the week, but that moved to -3 and then back up to -3.5 again. Like SportsBetting.ag, the Jets are juiced up a bit at +3.5. The public has favored Miami in this contest with about 60 percent of bets being placed on the Fins.
Jets at Dolphins Prediction
The Jets have been impressive this season, and McCown continues to go criminally underrated when talking about quarterbacks that have been around awhile. Even with subpar talent around him, he continues to produce offensively. I have no fears about him being able to move the ball against this Miami defense.
I don’t think the tough loss at New England phased the Jets much. This team was projected to win 4-5 games, and they’re already at three victories. Miami is due for a letdown after winning at Atlanta last week as 13-point underdogs. The Jets have a much better defense and passing game that should easily be able to put up points against their terrible secondary. Roll with the J-E-T-S on the road.
Seattle Seahawks -4.5 (-105) at New York Giants +4.5 (-115) Total: 40
Speaking of 13-point underdogs who pull upsets, well, the Giants also did that last Sunday. They stunned the national audience on Sunday Night Football by upsetting the Broncos by a score of 23-10. However, it was just their first win of the season, giving them a 1-5 record and a host of injuries. The Seahawks are coming off a bye with their last victory coming at St. Louis by a score of 16-10. They’re second in the NFC West with a 3-2 record.
The Giants should be able to rely on their defense in this one.
Seattle opened as a -8 favorite in this game before it was quickly bet down. The line now sits at -4.5 across the board for the most part. Betting action has been split around 50/50 since the odds opened.
Seahawks at Giants Prediction
If you managed to grab the Seahawks earlier in the week, congrats. You got an excellent price in a game I think they have a chance of winning outright. Yes, the Giants are decimated on offense, but they made it work last week against a shutdown pass defense, in Denver. Let’s also not forget that New York has an excellent pass defense. Their run defense has been weak, but Seattle has not run the ball efficiently against any team this season.
The Seahawks offensive line is in shambles. Cliff Avril is now out for the season. Cornerback Jeremy Lane is out this week. They’ve consistently shown no ability to move the ball against above-average defenses, especially when it comes to passing the ball.
I love the G-Men in this spot and a game, they could win outright, the moneyline is looking good too.
Atlanta Falcons +3 (+101) at New England Patriots -3 (-121) Total: 56.5
This is the Sunday Night Football game and as I mentioned above, has the highest total of the week by a large margin. Atlanta sits at 3-2, but it can’t help but feel like a bit of Super Bowl hangover for them. They’re coming off back-to-back losses to the Bills and the Dolphins in the past two weeks. New England is 4-2 after their defense has played better the last two weeks. They narrowly beat the Jets last weekend and benefited from a controversial touchdown being overturned.
A Super Rematch that Atlanta should win.
New England opened at -4.5, but that moved within a few hours. Most of the week the game has hovered around -3 and -3.5 in favor of the Patriots. Betting ticket wise, there seems to be an even split between the two teams, but it appears sharp money has come in on the Falcons.
Falcons at Patriots Prediction
I see this an eruption spot of the Falcons’ offense after they have been held down for two weeks and rightly justified about blowing a home game where they had a 17-0 lead against the Dolphins. We expected some regression from Atlanta offensively from last season, where it seemed like they were scoring a TD every drive, but they’ve been unlucky so far this season.
The Patriots have the worst defense in the league by most statistics and advanced metrics, and they’re missing, even more, guys as we get closer to Sunday. Cornerback Stephon Gilmore will be out this weekend. He would have likely shadowed Julio Jones. Their other cornerback, Eric Rowe, may also not suit up.
Even without these two guys, this represents an excellent on paper matchup for Atlanta. The Falcons defense has also not been bad in their own right, either. I like Falcons in this one. +3.5 may be available at a decent price at some sportsbooks, so shop around. The moneyline is also worth a look at +155.