NFL Week 9 Against The Spread Picks Battle
Last week we did great in our Week 8 picks. If you followed them, you went 5-1 and made a ton of cash.
We intend to do the same in Week 9, but I won’t lie. Both Joe and I are pursuing perfection.
The best game of the week will have Drew Brees and Tom Brady going against each other for the most touchdown passes in NFL history. But there are a few other great games to follow.
These are the best ATS Picks for NFL Week 9.
Joe’s Week 9 ATS Picks
Miami Dolphins +4 at Arizona
Tua Tugovailoa’s debut came with a win. The rookie QB wasn’t anything special in his first start, but he did throw for a touchdown and 93 yards. Miami also moved to 4-3 on the season after defeating the Rams.
The Cardinals are coming off a bye in Week 8. Their last game was a thriller against visiting Seattle, a game they in overtime. They now have a 5-2 record and are just a game behind the Seahawks in the NFC West.
I went with Miami last week and I am going back to the well again this week. It’s hard to say what we will get from Tua if this team gets behind, but I’ll take my chances with this Miami team getting 4.5 points.
Kyler Murray still is a young quarterback and Brian Flores’ defense is playing like one of the best units in the league right now. The market, on the whole, to me, is a little too high on the Cardinals.
They will be great fade material later in the season, but why wait? Grab the points with the Fins on the road in Week 9.
Seattle Seahawks -3 at Buffalo
This game pits two of the best teams in both conferences against each other Seattle travels to Buffalo to face the Bills. Both teams are coming off wins. The Seahawks took care of business against San Francisco last week, pushing their overall mark to 6-1 this season.
Buffalo narrowly beat the Patriots, due to a late Cam Newton fumble. Still, the Bills have a 6-2 record and sit atop the AFC East.
I have been high on the Bills for much of a year, but this is a spot where they are simply outclassed. Seattle is a much better team and should probably be closer to a touchdown favorite rather than a field goal.
Yes, they are 6-2 but two of those wins come against the New York Jets. This is just a case of a better team not being favored by nearly enough points.
New Orleans Saints +4 at Tampa Bay
These two teams met in Week 1 in New Orleans, which was a Saints’ blowout victory. The rubber match may be different with Tampa Bay winning three straight games, including a close game against New York on Monday night to move their record to 6-2.
The Saints trail the Bucs in the division, but just by a game at 5-2. New Orleans won in overtime last week against the visiting Chicago Bears. They have also won three straight games after losing to the Packers a few weeks ago.
I love this spot for New Orleans. Not only is Tampa Bay coming off a short week, but they had to work hard to beat the Giants. I feel like the market is overvaluing Tampa Bay while undervaluing New Orleans.
Also, the Saints will get two key pieces of their offense back this week in wide receivers, Michael Thomas and Emmanuelle Sanders. 4.5 points are just too many for a divisional battle between two teams that are most closely matched than most think.
Take the points with the road team.
Alonzo’s Week 9 ATS Picks
Baltimore Ravens -2 at Indianapolis
I’m a little surprised this number is not bigger. Baltimore is a Super Bowl candidate, while Indianapolis is not in the same tier. Sure, the Colts are good, but not Super Bowl-caliber good.
There will be a little overreaction about the Ravens’ loss to Pittsburgh last week. Yet, you need to look beyond the result. Baltimore controlled most of the game against the Steelers.
They recorded more passing and rushing yards, thus outgaining Pittsburgh by 236 total yards.
The Colts beat the Lions by 20, but Detroit is not a good measure stick. Also, Indianapolis saw Philip Rivers had near a perfect game against the Lions. Let’s be honest here. When was the last time you saw Rivers play this well?
I can throw money on a passer QB with no mobility, especially facing the Ravens nasty defense. Bet Baltimore -2.
Washington Football Team -2.5 vs. NY Giants
Don’t overreact about the last thing you saw on the field to make a bet for the next week. If you think the Giants will play this weekend as well as they did against Tampa Bay, you are in for a surprise.
New York took advantage of the fact that the Buccaneers were thinking about their matchup against the Saints. The Giants should have won that game, but we all know they are a terrible football team.
Washington is coming off a bye week. The last time we saw them, they destroyed the lousy Cowboys, and they should do it again against the Giants.
A team coming off a bye against a team in a short week is a mismatch. Expect a few turnovers by Daniel Jones in this one. Bet the Washington Football Team to cover the spread.
Los Angeles Chargers PK vs. Raiders
I’m also surprised the Chargers are not favorite by at least one point. They outplayed the Chiefs, Bucs, Saints since Justin Herbert took the QB starting job. I get they didn’t close those games, but they have a favorable matchup against the Raiders.
Las Vegas’ defense is terrible, and it benefited from poor weather in the win against the Browns last week. They are in the bottom ten of passing defense, points allowed, and sacks recorded. They can’t pressure the QB by any means.
I like Justin Herbert, maybe slightly less than most. But I still recognized his arm and coolness to take over the Chargers starting job right from the start. He will have time to both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, who have benefited from the team’s improved air attack.
This is a bad matchup for the Raiders. Take the Chargers to win.
Season Overall Against The Spread Record