NFL Week 7 Against The Spread Picks Battle
We gave you another great lineup of winners last week. We intend to keep the same winning pace for the rest of the season, so buckle up.
Suddenly, Joe is all-in on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He claims it is a week-to-week thing, but I think he finally got my advice and started respecting their defense.
Let’s see what the NFL Week 7 ATS battle has in store for this weekend.
Joe’s NFL Week 7 Picks Against The Spread
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5 at Las Vegas
The Buccaneers had a coming-out party last week as they decimated the Packers in what billed as the NFL’s Game of the Week in Week 7.
However, the game quickly turned into a route after the Packers score the first ten points. Tampa scored 38 unanswered points to win the game by a massive margin.
The Raiders are coming off a bye in Week 6. The last time we saw them, they defeated the Chiefs by a score of 40-32.
Oakland has impressed at times this season, but have also put up some stinkers.
I don’t love laying -3.5 but I do think we have the much better team in the Buccaneers. Not only is their defense playing at an elite level, but Tom Brady will go into only his second week with a fully healthy offense.
While I have been impressed with the play of Derek Carr this season – I don’t think it’s enough to sway my opinion on this game. Las Vegas’s defense has also been their Achilles heel so far this season.
Lay the points with the road team.
Carolina Panthers +7.5 at New Orleans
The NFC South takes center stage in this matchup as the Panthers head to New Orleans to take on the Saints. This will be the first meeting between these two teams in the NFC South.
The Panthers had won three straight games before falling to the Bears this past weekend. Their record sits at 3-3 and this is a critical game for them.
The last time we saw the Saints was Week 5, where they won a thriller in overtime against the Chargers. They were also without a wide receiver, Michael Thomas, who was out for disciplinary reasons.
He returns this week, but I’m still of the opinion the Saints deserve a downgrade from our preseason projections. Their defense has not been the upper-tier unit we’ve seen from the past few seasons.
The Panthers, on the other hand, seem to be better than most people considered before the season started.
I like them getting more than a touchdown in this rebound spot against a Saints’ team that is still being overvalued by the market.
Tennessee Titans -1 vs. Steelers
I’ve been high on Pittsburgh since the start of the season, but did take the Browns at +3.5 last week against the Steelers. That didn’t go so well.
Pittsburgh destroyed the Browns last week by a score of 38-7. They are still unbeaten and atop the AFC North with a one-game lead over the Ravens. Tennessee has also not lost a game. They won in overtime in a shootout against the Houston Texans last week.
It’s crazy to say it but I still think that the Titans are being undervalued in betting markets. This team is playing faster, has a smart head coach, and an awesome quarterback.
We saw the Steelers defense play down to opponents this season and Pittsburgh has not faced an offense as good as the Titans.
Pittsburgh also lost one of their best defensive players for the season in linebacker, Devin Bush. I have a lot of faith in Tennessee’s offense and even with them likely missing Taylor Lewan on the offensive line, their offense shouldn’t have any issue putting up points.
This is an elite football team that is equipped to play with a lead or storm back from deficits. Lay the points and take Tennessee.
Alonzo’s NFL Week 7 Picks
Cleveland Browns -3 at Cincinnati
I won’t overreact about the Browns loss to the Steelers. Pittsburgh has the perfect defense to give Baker Mayfield and the rest of Cleveland’s offense big problems. Guess who doesn’t have that defense? The Bengals.
Cincinnati allows 142.3 rushing yards per game every weekend, sixth worse in the NFL. The Browns remain the best rushing offense in the league, despite their lack of success a week ago.
This is the perfect game to bounce back. Bet Cleveland.
Denver Broncos +10 vs. Chiefs
Kansas City has dominated the Broncos over the last few years. The Chiefs have won nine games in a row in this series, including five in Denver.
Yet, the number seems high. Kansas City will win this game, but I can’t see a blowout. The Broncos defensive line played their best game of the season last week, and they should do some damage against the Chiefs o-line.
Denver is coming off an outstanding performance in New England last week. They are good enough to stay within distance and cover the spread at home.
Chicago Bears +6 at LA Rams
Most people are not on the Bears’ train even though the team is 5-1. Let’s face it, their offense is not great and is a roller-coaster of emotions most weekends.
But I think the oddsmakers are overvaluing the Rams. Los Angeles is 4-0 against the NFC East and 0-2 against the rest of the NFL.
Chicago has a good enough defense to keep Jared Goff on their heels, trying to escape pressure all game. We know what happens when Goff doesn’t have protection.
This number seems like a fluke to me. The number is too big. Grab the points.
Season Overall Against The Spread Record