NFL Week 3 Against The Spread Picks Battle
If you followed my ATS picks last week, you made a ton of money. If you followed Joe’s, not so much. That’s a cheap shot. I admit it.
But we are battling against each other every week, so I think I earned at least the right for a little trash talk.
Anyway, Joe is coming for redemption in Week 3 while I try to keep rolling. These are the best against the spread picks for the weekend.
Let’s do this:
Joe’s NFL Week 3 Picks Against The Spread
New England Patriots -6 vs. Raiders
The Raiders are flying high after winning their first game in Vegas, but this is a classic let down where we can take advantage. On a short week, they will fly to Foxboro for an early afternoon game against New England Patriots.
Their win was impressive, but perhaps their opponent was a large part of it. New Orleans was missing their top receiving threat, and they shot themselves in the foot repeatedly to the tune of 10 penalties for 129 yards.
New England should bounce back here in a massive way. They were one play away from defeating Seattle and have a strong defense, especially at home. Lay the points.
Washington Football Team +7 at Cleveland
After opening the season with a victory at Philly, Washington was defeated by the visiting Cardinals last week. This week, they welcome an AFC opponent coming off a win, the Cleveland Browns.
Despite big names and a seemingly solid roster, this Browns team continues to be a disappointment. Baker Mayfield has not looked especially useful to start the year and makes mistakes under pressure.
The Football Team has a ferocious pass rush and is simply being undervalued by the market. This bet may also be available at 7.5 at some point during the week, making it an even better wager if you can get that number.
Atlanta Falcons -3 vs. Bears
The Bears will travel to Atlanta as they try to go to 3-0 while Atlanta looks for their first win. The Falcons are coming off a devastating loss that saw they blow a massive lead and lose a game at Dallas in overtime.
However, let’s not crown Chicago just yet. Their two wins came against struggling teams in the Lions and Giants. Their offense, especially with Trubisky under center, is shaky, at best.
Atlanta’s defense isn’t good, but they are a powerhouse offense, particularly in their dome. The Bears are correctly an underdog here and may even suffer a blowout if their offense doesn’t show up.
Lay the points.
Alonzo’s NFL Week 3 Picks Against The Spread
NY Giants +4.5 vs. 49ers
For most people, this is a stay-away game. Both teams lost key players due to injury, and their season is in jeopardy.
The Giants lost RB Saquon Barkley for the rest of the year. But what happened to San Francisco is unbelievable.
DE Nick Bosa and DT Solomon Thomas are out for the season. RB Raheem Mostert and Tevin Coleman will be out a few weeks.
Then there is QB Jimmy Garoppolo, who is unlikely to play on Sunday due to a high ankle sprain. All those names join WR Deebo Samuel and Brandon Aiyuk, who haven’t even played this season because of injuries.
We know Danny Dimes can move the ball, and I’m getting +4.5 while he faces a depleted team. I’m taking the points.
Pittsburgh Steelers -4 vs. Texans
I know Joe is running scare of the Steelers because they failed to cover last week against Denver and their backup QB.
But the Steelers remain one of the best defenses in the NFL with a successful pressure rate. Pittsburgh has ten sacks in two games this season.
They are about to face the team that allows the most QB pressure in the entire league. Houston hasn’t protected Deshaun Watson since he entered the league. He has been sacked a league-high eight times in two games. It is just a bad matchup for the Texans’ offense.
The Steelers should be at least a touchdown favorite. Swallow the points.
Baltimore Ravens -3.5 vs. Chiefs
I won’t lie to you. I liked this line a lot more when the Ravens were -3, but it is what it is.
Baltimore is a team hungry to show they belong in the same category as the Chiefs. Lamar Jackson is 0-2 against Patrick Mahomes, but he finally has a good enough team all the way around to beat Pat and Kansas City.
The Ravens have plenty of talent to pressure Mahomes with four defensive linemen while covering the rest of the field. It’s a similar approach to what the Chargers did to the Kansas City Chiefs a week ago.
On the other hand, I don’t see how Kansas City’s defense stops Jackson.
Bet the Ravens.
Season Overall Against The Spread Record