Notre Dame Vs. USC – College Football Week 13 Picks
It’s more than just a rivalry that peaked in the ’90s. A first-ever College Football playoffs berth will be on the line for Notre Dame on Saturday. For USC is the chance to avoid going under .500 for the first time since 2000. A loss by the Trojans will likely take them out of a bowl bid as well.
Notre Dame is a 12-point road favorite in the spread at MyBookie.ag. The betting line opened with the Irish as 8-point favorites but it looked like a small spread early on. Some money coming in made this spread go up four points. I can’t see it moving any higher before the kickoff. 72% of the betting public is going with Notre Dame to cover the spread. The total opened at 53.5 points, and it’s currently at 54.5.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Vs. USC Trojans Predictions
A 12-0 record should give the Irish the nod by the College Football playoffs committee. But for our sake, it is not only about beating USC but beating them by two touchdowns to cover the spread. Last week their defense held Syracuse to just three points. The Orange entered that meeting averaging 40+ points per game, and they simply had no shot against Notre Dame’s defense.
The Irish defense is underrated despite their success. We don’t talk about it enough. This season only four teams have scored more than 20 points against them, and neither had reached the 30-point mark. ND offense, on the contrary, is flying high, averaging 38.4 points per game in the last four games. USC has dropped four of their last five games. Their last outing debacle in the 34-27 loss to UCLA put coach Clay Helton’s job in jeopardy and it should. The Trojans were an 11 win team last season and had ten wins the previous year. What happened in 2018 is a combination of bad recruiting and lousy coaching all at once.
The Irish tailback Dexter Williams is the key to this game. The senior running back is averaging 120.4 yards per game this season. He’s about to face a USC defense that allowed 289 rushing yards against the Bruins last weekend. Williams is set to have a monster night against a Trojans unit with bad tackling habits. I’m all for grabbing the points with the home team, but USC is a team that can’t wait for the season to be over. They are overmatched in talent, coaching and even willpower to be on that field on Saturday. I won’t forgive myself if I back up a team like the Trojans, especially with all the red flags they have shown us over the last month. What’s the play? Notre Dame -12.
Spread: Notre Dame -12
Money line: Notre Dame -475 vs USC +385
Game Total: 54.5
Date: Saturday, November 24, 2018
Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA
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