Nuggets Vs. Trail Blazers NBA Playoffs Game 6 | Expert Picks And Betting Odds
It was quite the storyline when the Portland Trail Blazers eliminated the OKC Thunder with a Damian Lillard dagger in the first round. The Blazers haven’t shown the same urgency, and the credit goes to the Denver Nuggets defensive effort. Game 6 moves back to Portland as the home team faces elimination for the first time this season. It’s safe to say Denver has the upper hand going into Game 6.
It’s not only about having a 3-2 lead in the series but the way things have gone down in the last couple of games. Not only did the Nuggets won the previous two, but the way they wiped the floor with the Blazers in Game 5 was pretty telling. The contest was over early in the third quarter. The 124-98 result was the biggest Blazers’ loss since getting manhandled by the Utah Jazz by 21 points on Christmas Day.
Denver Nuggets Vs. Portland Trail Blazers Game 6 Betting Preview
Can Portland bounce back? Sure they can, but nothing we have seen in the last three games have told us the Blazers are the better team in this series. Even in the four-overtime loss in Game 3, Denver was pushing hard to steal a game in Portland, and they eventually did in Game 4. The MyBookie.ag prices odds are not up for this particular matchup. But the future odds have Denver now at +2000 to win the NBA championship.
That’s an implied probability of 5% for the Nuggets to win the title out of the eight teams remaining. By looking at the percentage, it doesn’t seem to have a lot of faith from the oddsmakers, but there is plenty of value. It’s a good bet considering the Warriors and the Rockets are destroying each other in the other series. If Denver clinches early, then they will have more rest time.
Portland is listed +10000 to win the NBA championship, with 1% implied probability of winning. Only the Boston Celtics have a worse percentage at this point in the playoffs. But the lack of faith in the Blazers is not about the scenario they are in. After all, if they win Game 6 at home and Portland will put the pressure back on the shoulders of the Nuggets. But it is because they haven’t played comfortably during the entire series against the Denver.
The number one guy everybody is looking at is Damian Lillard. He was Superman against the Thunder, and he has been just ok against the Nuggets. Lillard is averaging 26.2 points per game in this series. But if we take out the 39-point performance from Game 1, he has averaged just 23.0 points in the last four meetings. Denver has forced him to move out of his comfort zone, and it has worked. The betting line hasn’t moved since it opened at 4, but that’s a good enough number to get the Nuggets with the points. I haven’t seen anything from Portland to think they will find an answer on Thursday Night.
What’s the play? Denver +4
- Spread: Blazers -4
- Money line: Denver +150 vs. Portland -180
- Game total: 215
- Date: Thursday, May 9, 2019
- Game time: 10:30 PM ET
- Venue: Moda Center, Portland, OR
- TV: ESPN
- Series: Denver leads 3-2
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