Oklahoma Vs. Virginia Predictions | March Madness Round 2 Betting
9 Oklahoma Sooners vs. 1 Virginia Cavaliers Betting Preview
To bet on the Virginia Cavaliers, first, we need to know which mood they are going to show. They might give us the top-notch defensive effort we are used to seeing or they can be lousy. Virginia will look for a Sweet Sixteen spot when taking on Oklahoma in the 2019 March Madness second round. The betting line opened with the Cavaliers as 11.5-point favorites for this game. During the last couple of days, the line dropped to 10-points as the lower number and went back up to 11. Only 56% of the money coming in is going to the Virginia Cavaliers’ side.
The Cavs had a slow start in their 71-56 win over the Gardner-Webb Bulldogs. The first half saw the Bulldogs had a 14-point lead early and finished the period with a six-point advantage. It was a Déjà vu moment from last year when Virginia lost in the first round to UMBC. But this time the Cavaliers bounced back with a 41-20 run in the second half. Virginia failed to cover the spread as a 22.5-point favorite after that disastrous start against Gardner-Webb. Oklahoma had one of those eye-popping showings in the first round, beating Ole Miss 95-72 while covering the spread as a 1-point underdog. The 95 points scored were the most by any school in the first round of the 2019 March Madness tournament. They had four players with over 18 points.
The Sooners might be a tough handle for Virginia in the second round. Oklahoma just scored 44 points in the paint against Ole Miss and shot 6-13 from three-point land. They can adjust to any type of challenge, and if they shoot with the same quality in the second round, then the Cavs will be in big trouble. Virginia has an implied probability of winning of over 88%, which is very high just as they are about to face a team that dropped 95 points in the first round. The problem with the Cavaliers is when they are off their best game, they are just terrible. There is not in between, and that’s a dangerous approach.
Oklahoma’s implied probability on the money line to win outright is around 15%. The Sooners were not expecting to be the March Madness team after they lost Trae Young to the NBA. But his departure to the Atlanta Hawks has actually helped the rest of the team get more involved. I don’t trust Virginia as a favorite during the tournament. They might win and advance, but with the Cavaliers, it is never a smooth ride. Let’s grab the points and stick with the team with the hottest offense. That alone should be enough for the Sooners to stay in the game and cover the 11-point spread. What’s the play? Sooners +11
Spread: Virginia -11
Money line: Oklahoma +540 vs. Virginia -790
Game total: 127
Date: Sunday, March 24, 2019
Game time: 6:45 PM ET
Venue: Colonial Life Arena, Columbia, SC
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