Opening NFL Odds at Week 6


Week 5 in the books, let’s take a look at the early odds for Week 6 at BetOnline is currently offering a 50% Bonus up to $2,500 on their first deposit.

Thursday Night Football – Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers +3 Total: 45.5

The Broncos should get Trevor Siemian back for this game, as he was close to suiting up on Sunday. Paxton Lynch didn’t look too good in the 23-16 loss to Atlanta last week, so Siemian’s return will be a welcome site for Denver. The come into the game with a 4-1 record.

San Diego is coming off a 34-31 road loss at Oakland. Instead of being in the driver’s seat of the division, they’re already in trouble with a 1-4 record. Another loss would likely take them out of contention.

The odds in this game opened at Broncos -3. That’s where they stand now at most sportsbooks. Early betting action shows over 75 percent of bets coming in on Denver. The total opened at 46 points and has been bet down to 45.5 in most spots.

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Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots -8.5 Total: 47

The Bengals record now sits at 2-3 after losing at Dallas this past weekend. It’s not an ideal time for them to visit New England, which are healthy favorites at home in this one. However, they were able to escape major injuries in the loss and tight end Tyler Eifert has “a chance” to return this week.

Brady’s back, back again, tell a friend… Okay, Tom Brady’s debut was underwhelming, after all, he faced what is an expansion team defense at Cleveland, but New England dominated in the 33-13 victory. It improved their record to 4-1 on the season, with their only loss coming in Week 3 against Buffalo.

A whopping 85% of bets have come in on the Patriots so far which has shifted the odds from -8 to -8.5. The total has also seen similar lopsided action, but so far has yet to move much off of the 47 opener.

Baltimore Ravens at New York Giants -3 Total: 43.5

The Ravens lost a low scoring game against the visiting Redskins last week, losing 16-10 to give them a 3-2 record on the year. The Ravens defense has been a huge surprise this season. They have held opponents to under 20 points three times and are a top-ten ranked unit, at minimum, based on just about every statistical metric so far.

The Giants season is free-falling a bit after they opened the year with back-to-back victories. New York has lost three straight games, including a 23-16 defeat at the Green Bay Packers last week that put their record at 2-3. Wide receiver Odell Beckham did not have a bounce-back performance last week, and we’re still not sure if he’s having fun playing football.

Bets are split down the middle on the point spread which opened at Giants -3. The total opened at 44.5 and has been bet down to 44 and 43.5 at most bookmakers.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Miami Dolphins +8 Total: 47.5

Perhaps no team is more exciting than the Steelers this year. Pittsburgh’s high-flying offense is one to watch. They scored 31 points to notch their fourth victory of the year against the Jets at Heinz Field last Sunday. Their record stands at 4-1, with their only loss at Philadelphia in Week 3.

I still feel like Miami is still an underrated team, but how underrated can a 1-4 team truly be? They have played a number of close games, including last week’s home loss to the Titans, but couldn’t get their offense going in the second half, nor stop the Vanilla offense that Tennessee employs.

The public believes this one will be a blood bath as over 85 percent of wagers have come in on Pittsburgh since the odds opened at -7.5. That has shifted the odds to Steelers -8 at some spots. The total opened at 48 points but has moved down 47.5 and 47 points at most online sportsbooks.

Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears -2.5 Total: 47

The Jaguars have become known as perennial underachievers, because, well, that’s what they are. Another offseason of hype, another poor start for Jacksonville. The Jaguars improved their record to 1-3 after beating the Indianapolis Colts 30-27 at Wembley Stadium two weeks ago. They were on a bye last week.

The Bears got their first win of the season two weeks ago against the Lions, but haven’t been able to compete in most matchups this season. They lost 29-23 at Indianapolis last week, to drop their record to 1-4.

Jay Cutler is still nursing an injury and may not return this week. Some have suggested that his career in Chicago may be finished. Brian Hoyer has played well (better than Cutler) in his starts and may take over his job, even when Cutler is ready. With no guaranteed money left on his contract, this may be the last season we see Cutler in Chicago.

The odds opened with Chicago at -1.5. These moved quickly to -2.5 or -3 at most sportsbooks with almost 70 percent of bets coming in on the Bears. The total is also being bet right around that clip by the public. The odds haven’t moved off the 47 opener just yet, however.

San Francisco at Buffalo Bills -8 Total: 44.5

Chip Kelly’s first year in San Francisco continues to be a major dud. They won in convincing fashion Week 1, but it’s been four losses since, including last Thursday against the Carson Palmer-less Arizona Cardinals by a score of 33-21.

The 49ers season is lost, but a quarterback change may soon be on the horizon. Colin Kaepernick is the high profile backup with the best chance to get the job, but third-stringer, Christians Ponder, also has the support of his teammates.

Whether the 49ers make a change at quarterback will have an effect the game, but the line might not move much because all of their options are below-average. The Bills defense is another reason why we might not see an effect on the spread.

After losing their first two games of the year, and wide receiver Sammy Watkins to injured reserve, Buffalo has won three straight games. Last week, they took care of the Rams in Los Angeles, winning 30-19.

The odds opened with the Bills at -7.5, but at most shops, the odds are now at -8. Almost 70 percent of wagers are coming in on Buffalo. The total opened at 45.5, close to 60 percent have come in on the under so far. The market has responded to these early wagers, moving the total to 44.5 and 44 at most shops.

Los Angeles Rams at Detroit Lions -3 Total: 43.5

L.A. lost last week against Buffalo at home 30-19, but they have been one of the biggest surprises in the league so far. With much of the NFC West still struggling, they are still very much in the fight for the division with a 3-2 record.

Detroit got their first win in three weeks last week against the Eagles at home. The Lions built a substantial lead, which they blew in the second half, but managed to win the game after Matt Prater kicked a 29-yard field goal with a minute left to win the game for Detroit 24-23. The Lions have a 2-3 record, which puts them third in the NFC North.

Vegas seems to think the Rams will clamp down on the Lions at home defensively. Detroit is favored by a field goal, a number that has not changed since opening. About 60 percent of bets are coming in on the Lions. The total started off at 43.5 points. It is hovering around between 42 and 44 points at most bookmakers. More than 60 percent of bets are coming in on the over.

Cleveland Browns at Tennessee Titans -7 Total: 43.5

The Browns are the only team in the NFL without a win. With Josh McCown still recovering from injury, it will once again be the Cody Kessler show in Nashville this week. Cleveland was decimated last week by Tom Brady and company 33-13, dropping them to 0-5 on the year.

It’s a testament to how bad Cleveland has been that the Titans are touchdown favorites against them, even at home. Tennessee is one of the league’s worst teams but still, sit at 2-3 after winning 30-17 at Miami last week.

Betting action has favored the Titans so far. The odds opened at -6 and have moved to -7 or -7.5 at most sportsbooks. Almost 80 percent of wagers have come in on the over, but the betting odds have dropped from 45.5 points to 43.5 and 44 points at most shops.

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Redskins +2.5 Total: 45

The Eagles undefeated run ended last week at Detroit where they lost 24-23 to a late Lions’ field goal. Philly had a bye in Week 4, which gives them a 3-1 record overall. Rookie quarterback Carson Wentz has looked fantastic in limited action so far.

The Redskins won the NFC East last year, and while they still boast a 3-2 record, their schedule hasn’t been all that difficult so far. They lost at Baltimore last week in a low scoring 16-10 game. This game will be a tough test for Kirk Cousins and critical to both teams in the divisional race.

Over 70 percent of wagers have been on Philadelphia so far. The over has gotten similar betting action. The Redskins actually opened as -1.5 favorites. The line has moved quite a bit to now have Philadelphia between -2 and -3 at most sportsbooks. The total opened at 46.5 and has dropped to somewhere between 44 and 45 points, depending on the book.

Kansas City at Oakland Raiders -1 Total: 46.5

The Chiefs are coming off a bye and have a 2-2 record on the year after losing badly to the Steelers in Week 4, 43-13. Kansas City is a different team this year. Their defense has not been nearly as good as it was last year. The offense will need shoulder more of a load. Running back Jamaal Charles will likely have a larger workload this week after making his season debut last week.

The Raiders defense was supposed to be a strength this year. It’s been far from even above-average. However, that hasn’t hurt Oakland in the win column. They have exploded out of the gate with five wins and just a single loss. Last week, they rallied late to notch a victory against the rival Chargers, 34-31.

Despite over two-thirds of bets coming in on the over, the total has dropped from a 48 opener to 46.5 and 47 at most sportsbooks. The Raiders have also gotten about 60 percent of wagers so far. The odds have moved slightly to -1 and pk at some spots off of the -1.5 opening number.

Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks -6 Total: 46

The Falcons have been one of the biggest surprises this year. After losing in Week 1, they have rattled off four straight wins, including a 23-16 victory at Denver last week. Their offensive line has been downright dominant, but they still need some help defensively to become a true contender for a title.

The Seahawks also find themselves in a familiar position as they come off a bye week. Seattle beat the Jets 27-17 in Week 4 to improve their record to 3-1 on the season. Russell Wilson’s ankle injury has had an extra week to heal.

We’ve seen some early reverse line movement in this one. About 70 percent of wagers have come on the Falcons so far. Despite that, the odds have moved from a -5.5 opener to -6 for Seattle across the board. Action on the total is split down the middle. Most sites have the total at the 46 opener or at 45.5.

Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers -4 Total: 47

Few teams are riding higher than Dallas right now. After losing Tony Romo for the season, rookie Dak Prescott has come in and led the team to a 4-1 record, which includes a blowout victory against the Bengals last week.

The Packers had their bye in Week 4. They returned to action last week to face the Giants and won a close game 23-16 to improve their record to 3-1. That’s good enough for second in the NFC North behind the Minnesota Vikings. Running back Eddie Lacy tweaked his ankle in last week’s win and is uncertain to play this week.

Betting action in this one favors Dallas but is close to 50/50. The odds opened for Green Bay at -7, but that immediately fell to -4 across the board. Over 85 percent of wagers have been bet on the over. It opened at 47 points, and is mostly at that number, with some bookmakers at 46.5.

Indianapolis Colts at Houston Texans -3 Total 46.5

The underachieving Colts now sit at 2-3 after winning against Chicago last week 29-23. They will face a much tougher test this week against a divisional rival, Houston. Indianapolis is still very much in the fight for the division title because they’re in the AFC South.

The Texans started off strong but now have lost two out of their last three games. However, even after a 31-13 blowout loss at Minnesota last week, they still have a 3-2 record and are in first place in the AFC South.

Bettors have favored the Colts with their early wagers. The odds moved from a -3.5 opener in favor of the Texans to -3 just about everywhere. The over is getting about 80 percent of wagers, but still hasn’t moved much off the 46 opening number.

Come Back Later In The Week

Due to quarterback injury questions, the odds are not available just yet for the Panthers at Saints and Jets at Cardinals. However, it seems that both Cam Newton and Carson Palmer will play this week.

Check back later in the Week for Thursday Night Football picks, my favorite picks for Sunday afternoon (we had a good week last week) and picks for Sunday and Monday night contests.

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Joseph Falchetti

Joseph Falchetti - Editor-in-Chief / Sports Writer & Analyst

Joe is the author of the blog, most picks, and the majority of excellent content on SafestBettingSites. He's been mentioned on as a gaming analyst and his articles have been linked by larger publications, such as the New York Times.

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2 thoughts on “Opening NFL Odds at Week 6”

  1. Out of the Loop says:

    Baltimore lost.

    1. Joseph Falchetti says:

      Updated, thank you!

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